VERIZON MUNICATIONS INC Odds of Future Bond Price Finishing Over 94.81

92343VCV4   94.81  4.03  4.44%   
VERIZON's future price is the expected price of VERIZON instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of VERIZON MUNICATIONS INC performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out VERIZON Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, VERIZON Correlation, VERIZON Hype Analysis, VERIZON Volatility, VERIZON History as well as VERIZON Performance.
  
Please specify VERIZON's target price for which you would like VERIZON odds to be computed.

VERIZON Target Price Odds to finish over 94.81

The tendency of VERIZON Bond price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 94.81 90 days 94.81 
about 29.9
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VERIZON to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 29.9 (This VERIZON MUNICATIONS INC probability density function shows the probability of VERIZON Bond to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VERIZON has a beta of 0.14. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, VERIZON average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VERIZON MUNICATIONS INC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VERIZON MUNICATIONS INC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   VERIZON Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for VERIZON

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VERIZON MUNICATIONS INC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the bond market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the bond market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
94.0194.8195.61
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
92.9693.76104.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
94.2395.0395.83
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
89.0791.6094.13
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as VERIZON. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against VERIZON's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, VERIZON's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in VERIZON MUNICATIONS INC.

VERIZON Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VERIZON is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VERIZON's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VERIZON MUNICATIONS INC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VERIZON within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.02
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.14
σ
Overall volatility
2.01
Ir
Information ratio -0.12

VERIZON Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VERIZON for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VERIZON MUNICATIONS INC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VERIZON generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

VERIZON Technical Analysis

VERIZON's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VERIZON Bond technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VERIZON MUNICATIONS INC. In general, you should focus on analyzing VERIZON Bond price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

VERIZON Predictive Forecast Models

VERIZON's time-series forecasting models is one of many VERIZON's bond analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VERIZON's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the bond market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about VERIZON MUNICATIONS INC

Checking the ongoing alerts about VERIZON for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VERIZON MUNICATIONS INC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VERIZON generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in VERIZON Bond

VERIZON financial ratios help investors to determine whether VERIZON Bond is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VERIZON with respect to the benefits of owning VERIZON security.