Baillie Gifford (UK) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 234.00

USA Etf   260.00  3.50  1.36%   
Baillie Gifford's future price is the expected price of Baillie Gifford instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Baillie Gifford Growth performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Baillie Gifford Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Baillie Gifford Correlation, Baillie Gifford Hype Analysis, Baillie Gifford Volatility, Baillie Gifford History as well as Baillie Gifford Performance.
  
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Baillie Gifford Target Price Odds to finish below 234.00

The tendency of Baillie Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  234.00  or more in 90 days
 260.00 90 days 234.00 
about 85.98
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Baillie Gifford to drop to  234.00  or more in 90 days from now is about 85.98 (This Baillie Gifford Growth probability density function shows the probability of Baillie Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Baillie Gifford Growth price to stay between  234.00  and its current price of 260.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 13.1 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Baillie Gifford has a beta of 0.9. This usually implies Baillie Gifford Growth market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Baillie Gifford is expected to follow. Additionally Baillie Gifford Growth has an alpha of 0.3112, implying that it can generate a 0.31 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Baillie Gifford Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Baillie Gifford

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Baillie Gifford Growth. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
257.91259.33260.75
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
234.00272.74274.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
257.32258.74260.17
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
255.53258.83262.13
Details

Baillie Gifford Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Baillie Gifford is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Baillie Gifford's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Baillie Gifford Growth, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Baillie Gifford within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.31
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.90
σ
Overall volatility
19.80
Ir
Information ratio 0.21

Baillie Gifford Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Baillie Gifford for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Baillie Gifford Growth can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Baillie Gifford generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from news.google.com: BlackRock launches US mega-cap equity ETF in Europe - ETF Strategy
The fund keeps all of the net assets in exotic instruments

Baillie Gifford Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Baillie Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Baillie Gifford's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Baillie Gifford's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding303.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments6.6 M

Baillie Gifford Technical Analysis

Baillie Gifford's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Baillie Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Baillie Gifford Growth. In general, you should focus on analyzing Baillie Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Baillie Gifford Predictive Forecast Models

Baillie Gifford's time-series forecasting models is one of many Baillie Gifford's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Baillie Gifford's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Baillie Gifford Growth

Checking the ongoing alerts about Baillie Gifford for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Baillie Gifford Growth help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Baillie Gifford generates negative cash flow from operations
Latest headline from news.google.com: BlackRock launches US mega-cap equity ETF in Europe - ETF Strategy
The fund keeps all of the net assets in exotic instruments

Other Information on Investing in Baillie Etf

Baillie Gifford financial ratios help investors to determine whether Baillie Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Baillie with respect to the benefits of owning Baillie Gifford security.