Americas Silver Corp Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.3
| USAS Stock | USD 0.38 0.01 2.70% |
Americas |
Americas Silver Target Price Odds to finish below 0.3
The tendency of Americas Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 0.30 or more in 90 days |
| 0.38 | 90 days | 0.30 | about 24.58 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Americas Silver to drop to $ 0.30 or more in 90 days from now is about 24.58 (This Americas Silver Corp probability density function shows the probability of Americas Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Americas Silver Corp price to stay between $ 0.30 and its current price of $0.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 34.39 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.41 . This usually implies as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Americas Silver will likely underperform. Additionally Americas Silver Corp has an alpha of 0.5673, implying that it can generate a 0.57 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Americas Silver Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Americas Silver
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Americas Silver Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Americas Silver Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Americas Silver is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Americas Silver's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Americas Silver Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Americas Silver within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.41 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.09 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.10 |
Americas Silver Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Americas Silver for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Americas Silver Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Americas Silver Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Americas Silver Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Americas Silver Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Americas Silver Corp currently holds 21.91 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.13, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Americas Silver Corp has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Americas Silver's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 89.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (38.17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.42 M. | |
| Americas Silver Corp currently holds about 8.82 M in cash with (1.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
| Americas Silver Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Pan American Silver Corp Stock Price Up 6.52 percent on Nov 19 - GuruFocus.com |
Americas Silver Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Americas Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Americas Silver's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Americas Silver's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 212.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 M |
Americas Silver Technical Analysis
Americas Silver's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Americas Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Americas Silver Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Americas Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Americas Silver Predictive Forecast Models
Americas Silver's time-series forecasting models is one of many Americas Silver's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Americas Silver's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Americas Silver Corp
Checking the ongoing alerts about Americas Silver for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Americas Silver Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Americas Silver Corp is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Americas Silver Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Americas Silver Corp appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| Americas Silver Corp currently holds 21.91 M in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 0.13, which may suggest the company is not taking enough advantage from borrowing. Americas Silver Corp has a current ratio of 0.74, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Note, when we think about Americas Silver's use of debt, we should always consider it together with its cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 89.56 M. Net Loss for the year was (38.17 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 8.42 M. | |
| Americas Silver Corp currently holds about 8.82 M in cash with (1.01 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
| Americas Silver Corp has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Pan American Silver Corp Stock Price Up 6.52 percent on Nov 19 - GuruFocus.com |
Additional Tools for Americas Stock Analysis
When running Americas Silver's price analysis, check to measure Americas Silver's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Americas Silver is operating at the current time. Most of Americas Silver's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Americas Silver's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Americas Silver's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Americas Silver to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.