Vivani Medical Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.33
| VANI Stock | USD 1.33 0.04 3.10% |
Vivani |
Vivani Medical Target Price Odds to finish over 1.33
The tendency of Vivani Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 1.33 | 90 days | 1.33 | about 15.28 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vivani Medical to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 15.28 (This Vivani Medical probability density function shows the probability of Vivani Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vivani Medical has a beta of -0.96. This entails Additionally Vivani Medical has an alpha of 0.0379, implying that it can generate a 0.0379 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Vivani Medical Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vivani Medical
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vivani Medical. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vivani Medical Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vivani Medical is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vivani Medical's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vivani Medical, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vivani Medical within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.96 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.08 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.04 |
Vivani Medical Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vivani Medical for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vivani Medical can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vivani Medical may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Vivani Medical had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Vivani Medical has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (25.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 130 K. | |
| Vivani Medical currently holds about 3.45 M in cash with (23.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.28. | |
| Vivani Medical has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Vivani Medical Provides Business Update Including 5M Equity Financing and Reports Third Quarter 2024 Financial Results |
Vivani Medical Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vivani Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vivani Medical's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vivani Medical's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 50.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 20.7 M |
Vivani Medical Technical Analysis
Vivani Medical's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vivani Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vivani Medical. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vivani Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vivani Medical Predictive Forecast Models
Vivani Medical's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vivani Medical's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vivani Medical's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vivani Medical
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vivani Medical for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vivani Medical help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vivani Medical may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Vivani Medical had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Vivani Medical has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (25.65 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 130 K. | |
| Vivani Medical currently holds about 3.45 M in cash with (23.7 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.28. | |
| Vivani Medical has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 53.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Vivani Medical Provides Business Update Including 5M Equity Financing and Reports Third Quarter 2024 Financial Results |
Check out Vivani Medical Backtesting, Vivani Medical Valuation, Vivani Medical Correlation, Vivani Medical Hype Analysis, Vivani Medical Volatility, Vivani Medical History as well as Vivani Medical Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Vivani Stock please use our How to Invest in Vivani Medical guide.You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vivani Medical. If investors know Vivani will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vivani Medical listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (0.43) | Return On Assets (0.29) | Return On Equity (0.86) |
The market value of Vivani Medical is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vivani that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vivani Medical's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vivani Medical's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vivani Medical's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vivani Medical's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vivani Medical's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vivani Medical is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vivani Medical's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.