VBC (Vietnam) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 20027.7
| VBC Stock | 20,100 100.00 0.50% |
VBC |
VBC Target Price Odds to finish below 20027.7
The tendency of VBC Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 20,028 or more in 90 days |
| 20,100 | 90 days | 20,028 | about 44.5 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VBC to drop to 20,028 or more in 90 days from now is about 44.5 (This VBC probability density function shows the probability of VBC Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VBC price to stay between 20,028 and its current price of 20100.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.36 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VBC has a beta of -0.23. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding VBC are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, VBC is likely to outperform the market. Additionally VBC has an alpha of 0.051, implying that it can generate a 0.051 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). VBC Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for VBC
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VBC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.VBC Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VBC is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VBC's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VBC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VBC within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.23 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 452.43 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
VBC Technical Analysis
VBC's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VBC Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VBC. In general, you should focus on analyzing VBC Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VBC Predictive Forecast Models
VBC's time-series forecasting models is one of many VBC's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VBC's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards VBC in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, VBC's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from VBC options trading.