Vista Gold Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.51
| VGZ Stock | CAD 0.84 0.02 2.33% |
Vista |
Vista Gold Target Price Odds to finish below 0.51
The tendency of Vista Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to C$ 0.51 or more in 90 days |
| 0.84 | 90 days | 0.51 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vista Gold to drop to C$ 0.51 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Vista Gold probability density function shows the probability of Vista Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vista Gold price to stay between C$ 0.51 and its current price of C$0.84 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.72 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vista Gold has a beta of 0.57. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vista Gold average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vista Gold will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vista Gold has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Vista Gold Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vista Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vista Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vista Gold Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vista Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vista Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vista Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vista Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.57 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.1 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.03 |
Vista Gold Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vista Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vista Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vista Gold generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Vista Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Vista Gold has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Vista Gold has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (6.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Vista Gold has accumulated about 10.45 M in cash with (5.86 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Amazon.com Inc Quote - Press Release - The Globe and Mail |
Vista Gold Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vista Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vista Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vista Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 120.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.1 M |
Vista Gold Technical Analysis
Vista Gold's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vista Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vista Gold. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vista Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vista Gold Predictive Forecast Models
Vista Gold's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vista Gold's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vista Gold's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vista Gold
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vista Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vista Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vista Gold generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Vista Gold has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Vista Gold has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Vista Gold has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| Net Loss for the year was (6.58 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. | |
| Vista Gold has accumulated about 10.45 M in cash with (5.86 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1. | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: Amazon.com Inc Quote - Press Release - The Globe and Mail |
Check out Vista Gold Backtesting, Vista Gold Valuation, Vista Gold Correlation, Vista Gold Hype Analysis, Vista Gold Volatility, Vista Gold History as well as Vista Gold Performance. To learn how to invest in Vista Stock, please use our How to Invest in Vista Gold guide.You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..