Vista Gold Stock Performance

VGZ Stock  CAD 3.67  0.03  0.82%   
On a scale of 0 to 100, Vista Gold holds a performance score of 10. The entity has a beta of 2.41, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Vista Gold will likely underperform. Please check Vista Gold's skewness, and the relationship between the potential upside and rate of daily change , to make a quick decision on whether Vista Gold's existing price patterns will revert.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

Fair

 
Weak
 
Strong
Compared to the overall equity markets, risk-adjusted returns on investments in Vista Gold are ranked lower than 10 (%) of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. In spite of very abnormal basic indicators, Vista Gold displayed solid returns over the last few months and may actually be approaching a breakup point. ...more
Last Split Factor
1:20
Last Split Date
2002-06-19
1
Equity Market Report - news.stocktradersdaily.com
12/16/2025
2
Form 4 VISTA GOLD CORP Insider Trading Activity - Stock Titan
12/22/2025
3
Public market insider selling at Vista Gold - The Globe and Mail
12/30/2025
4
Will Vista Gold Corp. stock hit analyst forecasts - 2025 Key Highlights Free Daily Entry Point Trade Alerts - ulpravda.ru
01/08/2026
5
Vista Gold Trading 1 percent Higher - Should You Buy - MarketBeat
01/16/2026
6
Vista Gold Hits New 52-Week High - Should You Buy - MarketBeat
01/22/2026
7
Vista Gold stock price target raised to 5 from 3 at H.C. Wainwright - Investing.com UK
02/03/2026
8
Advanced Equity Analysis - Stock Traders Daily
02/09/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow6.1 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities15.6 M
  

Vista Gold Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  238.00  in Vista Gold on November 24, 2025 and sell it today you would earn a total of  129.00  from holding Vista Gold or generate 54.2% return on investment over 90 days. Vista Gold is generating 0.9224% of daily returns assuming 6.7261% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 60% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Vista Gold, and 82% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vista Gold is expected to generate 9.09 times more return on investment than the market. However, the company is 9.09 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about 0.14 of its potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.15 per unit of risk.

Vista Gold Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Vista Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 3.67 90 days 3.67 
about 9.36
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vista Gold to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 9.36 (This Vista Gold probability density function shows the probability of Vista Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.41 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Vista Gold will likely underperform. Additionally Vista Gold has an alpha of 0.6494, implying that it can generate a 0.65 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Vista Gold Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vista Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vista Gold. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.193.7510.48
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.173.4910.22
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.073.6210.35
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.01-0.01-0.01
Details

Vista Gold Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vista Gold is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vista Gold's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vista Gold, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vista Gold within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.65
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.41
σ
Overall volatility
0.47
Ir
Information ratio 0.11

Vista Gold Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vista Gold for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vista Gold can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vista Gold is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Vista Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Vista Gold has accumulated about 10.45 M in cash with (5.74 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Advanced Equity Analysis - Stock Traders Daily

Vista Gold Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vista Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vista Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vista Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding125.6 M
Cash And Short Term Investments16.9 M

Vista Gold Fundamentals Growth

Vista Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Vista Gold, and Vista Gold fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Vista Stock performance.

About Vista Gold Performance

By examining Vista Gold's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Vista Gold's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Vista Gold is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand62.6 K65.7 K
Return On Tangible Assets 0.68  0.72 
Return On Capital Employed 0.68  0.71 
Return On Assets 0.68  0.72 
Return On Equity 0.72  0.76 

Things to note about Vista Gold performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vista Gold for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Vista Gold help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vista Gold is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Vista Gold appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Vista Gold has accumulated about 10.45 M in cash with (5.74 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.1.
Latest headline from news.google.com: Advanced Equity Analysis - Stock Traders Daily
Evaluating Vista Gold's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Vista Gold's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Vista Gold's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Vista Gold's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Vista Gold's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Vista Gold's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Vista Gold's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Vista Gold's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Vista Gold's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Vista Gold's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Vista Gold's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Vista Gold offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Vista Gold's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vista Gold Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Vista Gold Stock:
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Vista Gold. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
To learn how to invest in Vista Stock, please use our How to Invest in Vista Gold guide.
You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vista Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vista Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Vista Gold's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.