VIDAVO SA (Greece) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 2.36

VIDAVO Stock  EUR 2.82  0.24  9.30%   
VIDAVO SA's future price is the expected price of VIDAVO SA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of VIDAVO SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out VIDAVO SA Backtesting, VIDAVO SA Valuation, VIDAVO SA Correlation, VIDAVO SA Hype Analysis, VIDAVO SA Volatility, VIDAVO SA History as well as VIDAVO SA Performance.
  
Please specify VIDAVO SA's target price for which you would like VIDAVO SA odds to be computed.

VIDAVO SA Target Price Odds to finish over 2.36

The tendency of VIDAVO Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above € 2.36  in 90 days
 2.82 90 days 2.36 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VIDAVO SA to stay above € 2.36  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This VIDAVO SA probability density function shows the probability of VIDAVO Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VIDAVO SA price to stay between € 2.36  and its current price of €2.82 at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VIDAVO SA has a beta of -0.16. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding VIDAVO SA are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, VIDAVO SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally VIDAVO SA has an alpha of 0.1619, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   VIDAVO SA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for VIDAVO SA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VIDAVO SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VIDAVO SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.952.824.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.892.764.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.952.824.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
2.472.602.73
Details

VIDAVO SA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VIDAVO SA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VIDAVO SA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VIDAVO SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VIDAVO SA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.16
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio 0.01

VIDAVO SA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VIDAVO SA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VIDAVO SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 221.16 K. Net Loss for the year was (181 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 148.35 K.
VIDAVO SA has accumulated about 282.58 K in cash with (64.64 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.33.

VIDAVO SA Technical Analysis

VIDAVO SA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VIDAVO Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VIDAVO SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing VIDAVO Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

VIDAVO SA Predictive Forecast Models

VIDAVO SA's time-series forecasting models is one of many VIDAVO SA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VIDAVO SA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about VIDAVO SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about VIDAVO SA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VIDAVO SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 221.16 K. Net Loss for the year was (181 K) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 148.35 K.
VIDAVO SA has accumulated about 282.58 K in cash with (64.64 K) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.33.

Other Information on Investing in VIDAVO Stock

VIDAVO SA financial ratios help investors to determine whether VIDAVO Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VIDAVO with respect to the benefits of owning VIDAVO SA security.