Vipshop Holdings Limited Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.46
| VIPS Stock | USD 13.43 0.11 0.81% |
Vipshop |
Vipshop Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 16.46
The tendency of Vipshop Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 16.46 or more in 90 days |
| 13.43 | 90 days | 16.46 | about 5.69 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vipshop Holdings to move over $ 16.46 or more in 90 days from now is about 5.69 (This Vipshop Holdings Limited probability density function shows the probability of Vipshop Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vipshop Holdings price to stay between its current price of $ 13.43 and $ 16.46 at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.25 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days Vipshop Holdings has a beta of 0.75. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vipshop Holdings average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vipshop Holdings Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vipshop Holdings Limited has an alpha of 0.2096, implying that it can generate a 0.21 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Vipshop Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vipshop Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vipshop Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vipshop Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vipshop Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vipshop Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vipshop Holdings Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vipshop Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.21 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.75 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
Vipshop Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vipshop Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vipshop Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vipshop Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Vipshop Holdings Limited Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Vipshop Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vipshop Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vipshop Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vipshop Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 562.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 27.9 B |
Vipshop Holdings Technical Analysis
Vipshop Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vipshop Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vipshop Holdings Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vipshop Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vipshop Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Vipshop Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Vipshop Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vipshop Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vipshop Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vipshop Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vipshop Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vipshop Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from insidermonkey.com: Vipshop Holdings Limited Q3 2024 Earnings Call Transcript |
Additional Tools for Vipshop Stock Analysis
When running Vipshop Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Vipshop Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vipshop Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Vipshop Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vipshop Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vipshop Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vipshop Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.