Vipshop Holdings Limited Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

VIPS Stock  USD 13.41  0.20  1.51%   
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your typical level of risk aversion, our recommendation regarding Vipshop Holdings Limited is 'Cautious Hold'. A buy or sell recommendation is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Vipshop Holdings Limited given historical horizon and risk tolerance. When we issue a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Vipshop Holdings Limited, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out Vipshop Holdings Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as Vipshop and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' constraints. Vipshop Holdings Limited. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.

Execute Vipshop Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

The Vipshop recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Vipshop Holdings Limited. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Vipshop Holdings Limited or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Vipshop Holdings' advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell Vipshop HoldingsBuy Vipshop Holdings
Cautious Hold

Market Performance

WeakDetails

Volatility

Not too volatileDetails

Hype Condition

Low keyDetails

Current Valuation

UndervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

Very SmallDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Slowly supersedes the marketDetails

Investor Sentiment

ImpartialDetails

Analyst Consensus

BuyDetails

Financial Strenth (F Score)

HealthyDetails

Financial Leverage

Not RatedDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

Unlikely ManipulatorDetails
For the selected time horizon Vipshop Holdings Limited has a Mean Deviation of 2.17, Semi Deviation of 2.46, Standard Deviation of 3.26, Variance of 10.62, Downside Variance of 6.51 and Semi Variance of 6.07
Our advice tool can cross-verify current analyst consensus on Vipshop Holdings and to analyze the firm potential to grow in the current economic cycle. To make sure Vipshop Holdings is not overpriced, please validate all Vipshop Holdings fundamentals, including its book value per share, and the relationship between the net income and number of employees . Given that Vipshop Holdings has a price to book of 1.35 X, we advise you to double-check Vipshop Holdings Limited market performance and probability of bankruptcy to ensure the company can sustain itself in the current economic cycle given your current risk tolerance and investing horizon.

Vipshop Holdings Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

Vipshop Holdings had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days
Vipshop Holdings is unlikely to experience financial distress in the next 2 years
About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors
Latest headline from benzinga.com: Understanding Amazon.coms Position In Broadline Retail Industry Compared To Competitors

Vipshop Holdings Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of Vipshop Holdings' historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Vipshop Holdings' future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Vipshop Holdings daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Vipshop Holdings Limited price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Vipshop Holdings returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Vipshop Holdings.
Mean Return
0.1
Value At Risk
-4.47
Potential Upside
5.40
Standard Deviation
3.26
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Vipshop Holdings historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

Vipshop Stock Institutional Investors

The Vipshop Holdings' institutional investors refer to entities that pool money to purchase Vipshop Holdings' securities or originate loans. These institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds.
Shares
Amvescap Plc.2024-09-30
M
Orbis Allan Gray Ltd2024-09-30
5.6 M
Lsv Asset Management2024-09-30
M
Massachusetts Financial Services Company2024-09-30
4.8 M
Marathon Asset Mgmt Ltd2024-09-30
4.4 M
Legal & General Group Plc2024-09-30
4.1 M
Goldman Sachs Group Inc2024-09-30
M
North Of South Capital Llp2024-09-30
M
Ubs Asset Mgmt Americas Inc2024-09-30
M
Blackrock Inc2024-06-30
19.7 M
Hillhouse Capital Advisors, Ltd.2024-09-30
15.7 M
Note, although Vipshop Holdings' institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Vipshop Holdings Cash Flow Accounts

201920202021202220232024 (projected)
Change To Inventory(2.6B)(527.2M)917.4M1.5B601.4M631.5M
Change In Cash(2.3B)5.1B4.4B5.9B3.2B1.9B
Free Cash Flow8.0B9.5B3.2B7.4B9.2B9.6B
Depreciation950.5M1.1B1.3B1.4B1.5B1.6B
Other Non Cash Items302.1M353.5M675.7M435.9M(379.3M)(360.3M)
Capital Expenditures4.3B2.3B3.6B3.1B5.2B5.5B
Net Income4.0B5.9B4.7B6.3B8.2B8.6B
End Period Cash Flow7.7B12.8B17.2B23.1B26.3B27.6B
Investments(8.2B)(5.3B)976.1M1.0B(5.2B)(4.9B)
Net Borrowings(6.2B)(145.5M)944.3M541.0M486.9M511.3M
Change To Netincome2.3B1.1B1.5B1.6B1.8B1.2B

Vipshop Holdings Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Vipshop Holdings or Broadline Retail sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Vipshop Holdings' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Vipshop stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.42
σ
Overall volatility
3.31
Ir
Information ratio 0

Vipshop Holdings Volatility Alert

Vipshop Holdings Limited currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.0 and Jensen Alpha of 0.06. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Vipshop Holdings' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Vipshop Holdings' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

Vipshop Holdings Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing Vipshop Holdings' fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Vipshop Holdings' direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Vipshop Holdings and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Vipshop Holdings or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Vipshop Holdings' fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Vipshop Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare Vipshop Holdings to competition
FundamentalsVipshop HoldingsPeer Average
Return On Equity0.23-0.31
Return On Asset0.0994-0.14
Profit Margin0.08 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.08 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation4.6 B16.62 B
Shares Outstanding435.53 M571.82 M
Shares Owned By Institutions68.96 %39.21 %
Number Of Shares Shorted9.68 M4.71 M
Price To Earning7.31 X28.72 X
Price To Book1.35 X9.51 X
Price To Sales0.06 X11.42 X
Revenue112.86 B9.43 B
Gross Profit21.62 B27.38 B
EBITDA11.53 B3.9 B
Net Income8.2 B570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents20.41 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share32.11 X5.01 X
Total Debt2.34 B5.32 B
Debt To Equity0.07 %48.70 %
Current Ratio1.29 X2.16 X
Book Value Per Share68.16 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations14.41 B971.22 M
Short Ratio2.87 X4.00 X
Earnings Per Share2.09 X3.12 X
Price To Earnings To Growth32.44 X4.89 X
Target Price15.8
Number Of Employees14.64 K18.84 K
Beta0.33-0.15
Market Capitalization6.99 B19.03 B
Total Asset72.32 B29.47 B
Retained Earnings36.84 B9.33 B
Working Capital6.94 B1.48 B
Current Asset12.15 B9.34 B

Vipshop Holdings Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Vipshop . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About Vipshop Holdings Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell Vipshop Holdings Limited? Buying financial instruments such as Vipshop Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Cars Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Vipshop Stock Analysis

When running Vipshop Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Vipshop Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vipshop Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Vipshop Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vipshop Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vipshop Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vipshop Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.