Vitarich Corp (Philippines) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.64

VITA Stock   0.64  0.05  8.47%   
Vitarich Corp's future price is the expected price of Vitarich Corp instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vitarich Corp performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Vitarich Corp Backtesting, Vitarich Corp Valuation, Vitarich Corp Correlation, Vitarich Corp Hype Analysis, Vitarich Corp Volatility, Vitarich Corp History as well as Vitarich Corp Performance.
  
Please specify Vitarich Corp's target price for which you would like Vitarich Corp odds to be computed.

Vitarich Corp Target Price Odds to finish over 0.64

The tendency of Vitarich Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.64 90 days 0.64 
about 85.84
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vitarich Corp to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 85.84 (This Vitarich Corp probability density function shows the probability of Vitarich Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vitarich Corp has a beta of -0.3. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Vitarich Corp are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Vitarich Corp is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Vitarich Corp has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Vitarich Corp Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vitarich Corp

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vitarich Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.644.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.564.18
Details

Vitarich Corp Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vitarich Corp is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vitarich Corp's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vitarich Corp, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vitarich Corp within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.3
σ
Overall volatility
0.06
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

Vitarich Corp Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vitarich Corp for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vitarich Corp can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vitarich Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vitarich Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Vitarich Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Vitarich Corp generates negative cash flow from operations

Vitarich Corp Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vitarich Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vitarich Corp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vitarich Corp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.1 B
Cash And Short Term Investments230 M

Vitarich Corp Technical Analysis

Vitarich Corp's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vitarich Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vitarich Corp. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vitarich Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vitarich Corp Predictive Forecast Models

Vitarich Corp's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vitarich Corp's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vitarich Corp's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vitarich Corp

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vitarich Corp for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vitarich Corp help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vitarich Corp generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vitarich Corp has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Vitarich Corp has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Vitarich Corp generates negative cash flow from operations

Additional Tools for Vitarich Stock Analysis

When running Vitarich Corp's price analysis, check to measure Vitarich Corp's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vitarich Corp is operating at the current time. Most of Vitarich Corp's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vitarich Corp's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vitarich Corp's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vitarich Corp to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.