Viver Incorporadora (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 1.56
| VIVR3 Stock | BRL 1.31 0.01 0.77% |
Viver |
Viver Incorporadora Target Price Odds to finish over 1.56
The tendency of Viver Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over R$ 1.56 or more in 90 days |
| 1.31 | 90 days | 1.56 | about 77.12 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Viver Incorporadora to move over R$ 1.56 or more in 90 days from now is about 77.12 (This Viver Incorporadora e probability density function shows the probability of Viver Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Viver Incorporadora price to stay between its current price of R$ 1.31 and R$ 1.56 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.62 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Viver Incorporadora has a beta of 0.78. This entails as returns on the market go up, Viver Incorporadora average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Viver Incorporadora e will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Viver Incorporadora e has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Viver Incorporadora Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Viver Incorporadora
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Viver Incorporadora. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Viver Incorporadora Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Viver Incorporadora is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Viver Incorporadora's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Viver Incorporadora e, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Viver Incorporadora within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -1.1 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.78 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.35 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.48 |
Viver Incorporadora Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Viver Incorporadora for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Viver Incorporadora can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Viver Incorporadora generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Viver Incorporadora may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Viver Incorporadora has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Viver Incorporadora has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Viver Incorporadora e has accumulated 15 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 409.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Viver Incorporadora has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Viver Incorporadora until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Viver Incorporadora's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Viver Incorporadora sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Viver to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Viver Incorporadora's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 67.98 M. Net Loss for the year was (57.53 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 12.61 M. | |
| Viver Incorporadora e has accumulated about 62.99 M in cash with (59.79 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. |
Viver Incorporadora Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Viver Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Viver Incorporadora's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Viver Incorporadora's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 142.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 63.5 M |
Viver Incorporadora Technical Analysis
Viver Incorporadora's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Viver Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Viver Incorporadora e. In general, you should focus on analyzing Viver Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Viver Incorporadora Predictive Forecast Models
Viver Incorporadora's time-series forecasting models is one of many Viver Incorporadora's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Viver Incorporadora's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Viver Incorporadora
Checking the ongoing alerts about Viver Incorporadora for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Viver Incorporadora help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Viver Incorporadora generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Viver Incorporadora may become a speculative penny stock | |
| Viver Incorporadora has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Viver Incorporadora has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations | |
| Viver Incorporadora e has accumulated 15 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 409.7, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Viver Incorporadora has a current ratio of 0.73, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Viver Incorporadora until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Viver Incorporadora's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Viver Incorporadora sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Viver to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Viver Incorporadora's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 67.98 M. Net Loss for the year was (57.53 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 12.61 M. | |
| Viver Incorporadora e has accumulated about 62.99 M in cash with (59.79 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.01. |
Additional Tools for Viver Stock Analysis
When running Viver Incorporadora's price analysis, check to measure Viver Incorporadora's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Viver Incorporadora is operating at the current time. Most of Viver Incorporadora's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Viver Incorporadora's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Viver Incorporadora's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Viver Incorporadora to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.