Vmoto (Australia) Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 23.01

VMT Stock   0.07  0  5.80%   
Vmoto's future price is the expected price of Vmoto instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vmoto performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Vmoto Backtesting, Vmoto Valuation, Vmoto Correlation, Vmoto Hype Analysis, Vmoto Volatility, Vmoto History as well as Vmoto Performance.
  
Please specify Vmoto's target price for which you would like Vmoto odds to be computed.

Vmoto Target Price Odds to finish over 23.01

The tendency of Vmoto Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  23.01  or more in 90 days
 0.07 90 days 23.01 
close to zero percent
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vmoto to move over  23.01  or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Vmoto probability density function shows the probability of Vmoto Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vmoto price to stay between its current price of  0.07  and  23.01  at the end of the 90-day period is close to 99 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 2.99 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Vmoto will likely underperform. Additionally Vmoto has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Vmoto Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vmoto

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vmoto. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.077.70
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.077.70
Details

Vmoto Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vmoto is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vmoto's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vmoto, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vmoto within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.77
β
Beta against Dow Jones2.99
σ
Overall volatility
0.02
Ir
Information ratio -0.09

Vmoto Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vmoto for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vmoto can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vmoto generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vmoto has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Vmoto has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Vmoto Limiteds PS Ratio - Simply Wall St

Vmoto Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vmoto Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vmoto's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vmoto's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding313.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments42.5 M

Vmoto Technical Analysis

Vmoto's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vmoto Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vmoto. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vmoto Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vmoto Predictive Forecast Models

Vmoto's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vmoto's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vmoto's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vmoto

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vmoto for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vmoto help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vmoto generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vmoto has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Vmoto has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Vmoto Limiteds PS Ratio - Simply Wall St

Additional Tools for Vmoto Stock Analysis

When running Vmoto's price analysis, check to measure Vmoto's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vmoto is operating at the current time. Most of Vmoto's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vmoto's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vmoto's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vmoto to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.