Vnet Group Drc Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 3.88
| VNET Stock | USD 3.69 0.06 1.60% |
VNET |
VNET Group Target Price Odds to finish below 3.88
The tendency of VNET Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 3.88 after 90 days |
| 3.69 | 90 days | 3.88 | about 82.27 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VNET Group to stay under $ 3.88 after 90 days from now is about 82.27 (This VNET Group DRC probability density function shows the probability of VNET Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VNET Group DRC price to stay between its current price of $ 3.69 and $ 3.88 at the end of the 90-day period is about 10.13 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days VNET Group has a beta of 0.95. This entails VNET Group DRC market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, VNET Group is expected to follow. Moreover VNET Group DRC has an alpha of 1.0919, implying that it can generate a 1.09 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). VNET Group Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for VNET Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VNET Group DRC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of VNET Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
VNET Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VNET Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VNET Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VNET Group DRC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VNET Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.09 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.95 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.56 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.16 |
VNET Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VNET Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VNET Group DRC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| VNET Group DRC is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| VNET Group DRC appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| VNET Group DRC has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.41 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.6 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.36 B. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: VNET Group Inc Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Strong Revenue Growth and Strategic ... |
VNET Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VNET Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VNET Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VNET Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 150.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.6 B |
VNET Group Technical Analysis
VNET Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VNET Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VNET Group DRC. In general, you should focus on analyzing VNET Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
VNET Group Predictive Forecast Models
VNET Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many VNET Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VNET Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about VNET Group DRC
Checking the ongoing alerts about VNET Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VNET Group DRC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| VNET Group DRC is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| VNET Group DRC appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| VNET Group DRC has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 7.41 B. Net Loss for the year was (2.6 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.36 B. | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: VNET Group Inc Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Strong Revenue Growth and Strategic ... |
Additional Tools for VNET Stock Analysis
When running VNET Group's price analysis, check to measure VNET Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy VNET Group is operating at the current time. Most of VNET Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of VNET Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move VNET Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of VNET Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.