Vornado Realty Trust Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 41.06
| VNO Stock | USD 42.42 1.00 2.41% |
Vornado |
Vornado Realty Target Price Odds to finish over 41.06
The tendency of Vornado Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 41.06 in 90 days |
| 42.42 | 90 days | 41.06 | about 31.67 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vornado Realty to stay above $ 41.06 in 90 days from now is about 31.67 (This Vornado Realty Trust probability density function shows the probability of Vornado Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vornado Realty Trust price to stay between $ 41.06 and its current price of $42.42 at the end of the 90-day period is about 12.39 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Vornado Realty has a beta of 1.0. This entails Vornado Realty Trust market returns are highly reactive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Vornado Realty is expected to follow. Additionally Vornado Realty Trust has an alpha of 0.2209, implying that it can generate a 0.22 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Vornado Realty Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vornado Realty
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vornado Realty Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vornado Realty Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vornado Realty is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vornado Realty's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vornado Realty Trust, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vornado Realty within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.22 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.00 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.13 |
Vornado Realty Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vornado Realty for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vornado Realty Trust can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vornado Realty Trust has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 92.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Vornado Realty Trust Stock Price Down 3.55 percent on Nov 12 |
Vornado Realty Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vornado Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vornado Realty's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vornado Realty's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 191.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 997 M |
Vornado Realty Technical Analysis
Vornado Realty's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vornado Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vornado Realty Trust. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vornado Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vornado Realty Predictive Forecast Models
Vornado Realty's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vornado Realty's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vornado Realty's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vornado Realty Trust
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vornado Realty for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vornado Realty Trust help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vornado Realty Trust has a strong financial position based on the latest SEC filings | |
| Over 92.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Vornado Realty Trust Stock Price Down 3.55 percent on Nov 12 |
Check out Vornado Realty Backtesting, Vornado Realty Valuation, Vornado Realty Correlation, Vornado Realty Hype Analysis, Vornado Realty Volatility, Vornado Realty History as well as Vornado Realty Performance. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vornado Realty. If investors know Vornado will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vornado Realty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.25) | Dividend Share 0.3 | Earnings Share (0.28) | Revenue Per Share 9.825 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
The market value of Vornado Realty Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vornado that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vornado Realty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vornado Realty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vornado Realty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vornado Realty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vornado Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vornado Realty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vornado Realty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.