Vornado Realty Trust Stock Beneish M Score

VNO Stock  USD 43.26  0.68  1.60%   
This module uses fundamental data of Vornado Realty to approximate the value of its Beneish M Score. Vornado Realty M Score tells investors if the company management is likely to be manipulating earnings. The score is calculated using eight financial indicators that are adjusted by a specific multiplier. Please note, the M Score is a probabilistic model and cannot detect companies that manipulate their earnings with 100% accuracy. Check out Vornado Realty Piotroski F Score and Vornado Realty Altman Z Score analysis.
  
At this time, Vornado Realty's Cash Flow To Debt Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. At this time, Vornado Realty's POCF Ratio is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 1st of February 2025, Interest Coverage is likely to grow to 3.21, while Days Sales Outstanding is likely to drop 100.10.
At this time, it appears that Vornado Realty Trust is an unlikely manipulator. The earnings manipulation may begin if Vornado Realty's top management creates an artificial sense of financial success, forcing the stock price to be traded at a high price-earnings multiple than it should be. In general, excessive earnings management by Vornado Realty executives may lead to removing some of the operating profits from subsequent periods to inflate earnings in the following periods. This way, the manipulation of Vornado Realty's earnings can lead to misrepresentations of actual financial condition, taking the otherwise loyal stakeholders on to the path of questionable ethical practices and plain fraud.
-3.0
Beneish M Score - Unlikely Manipulator
Elasticity of Receivables

0.99

Focus
Asset Quality

-0.0738

Focus
Expense Coverage

0.86

Focus
Gross Margin Strengs

1.07

Focus
Accruals Factor

0.86

Focus
Depreciation Resistance

1.17

Focus
Net Sales Growth

0.83

Focus
Financial Leverage Condition

0.95

Focus

Vornado Realty Beneish M-Score Indicator Trends

The cure to earnings manipulation is the transparency of financial reporting. It will typically remove the temptation of the top executives to inflate earnings (i.e., to promote the idea of 'winning at any cost'). Because a healthy internal audit department can enhance transparency, the board should promote the auditors' access to all the record-keeping systems across the enterprise. For example, if Vornado Realty's auditors report directly to the board (not management), the managers will be reluctant to manipulate simply due to the fear of punishment. On the other hand, the auditors will be free to investigate the ledgers properly because they know that the board has their back.
Current ValueLast YearChange From Last Year 10 Year Trend
Net Receivables731.1 M886.9 M
Significantly Down
Very volatile
Total Revenue1.7 B2.1 B
Fairly Down
Pretty Stable
Total Assets13.6 B18.6 B
Way Down
Very volatile
Total Current Assets1.7 B2.4 B
Way Down
Slightly volatile
Non Current Assets Total11.5 B16.1 B
Way Down
Very volatile
Depreciation And Amortization445.8 M526.2 M
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Selling General Administrative133.7 M187.3 M
Way Down
Very volatile
Total Current Liabilities996 M1.2 B
Fairly Down
Pretty Stable
Non Current Liabilities Total7.3 B10.1 B
Way Down
Very volatile
Net Debt6.2 B9.2 B
Way Down
Very volatile
Short Term Debt698.5 M661.2 M
Notably Up
Pretty Stable
Long Term Debt8.9 B8.8 B
Slightly Up
Very volatile
Total Cash From Operating Activities579.5 M745.4 M
Significantly Down
Very volatile
Short Term Investments242.4 M159.6 M
Way Up
Pretty Stable
Long Term Investments2.7 BB
Fairly Down
Slightly volatile
Gross Profit Margin0.620.58
Notably Up
Slightly volatile

Vornado Realty Trust Beneish M-Score Driver Matrix

One of the toughest challenges investors face today is learning how to quickly synthesize historical financial statements and information provided by the company, SEC reporting, and various external parties in order to detect the potential manipulation of earnings. Understanding the correlation between Vornado Realty's different financial indicators related to revenue, expenses, operating profit, and net earnings helps investors identify and prioritize their investing strategies towards Vornado Realty in a much-optimized way. Analyzing correlations between earnings drivers directly associated with dollar figures is the most effective way to find Vornado Realty's degree of accounting gimmicks and manipulations.

About Vornado Realty Beneish M Score

M-Score is one of many grading techniques for value stocks. It was developed by Professor M. Daniel Beneish of the Kelley School of Business at Indiana University and published in 1999 under the paper titled The Detection of Earnings Manipulation. The Beneish score is a multi-factor model that utilizes financial identifiers to compile eight variables used to classify whether a company has manipulated its reported earnings. The variables are built from the officially filed financial statements to create a final score call 'M Score.' The score helps to identify companies that are likely to manipulate their profits if they show deteriorating gross margins, operating expenses, and leverage against growing revenue.

Other Operating Expenses

1.03 Billion

At this time, Vornado Realty's Other Operating Expenses is very stable compared to the past year.

Vornado Realty Earnings Manipulation Drivers

Although earnings manipulation is typically not the result of intentional misconduct by the c-level executives, it is still a widespread practice by the senior management of public companies such as Vornado Realty. It is usually done by a series of misrepresentations of various accounting rules and operating activities across multiple financial cycles. The best way to spot the manipulation is to examine the historical financial statement to find inconsistencies in earning reports to find trends in assets or liabilities that are not sustainable in the future.
202020212022202320242025 (projected)
Net Receivables751.7M736.0M776.1M771.2M886.9M731.1M
Total Revenue1.5B1.6B1.8B1.8B2.1B1.7B
Total Assets16.2B17.3B16.5B16.2B18.6B13.6B
Total Current Assets2.6B2.7B2.3B2.1B2.4B1.7B
Net Debt6.2B7.2B8.2B8.0B9.2B6.2B
Short Term Debt80M575M2.6B379.0M661.3M698.5M
Long Term Debt6.8B8.0B7.8B7.7B8.8B8.9B
Operating Income(171.4M)380.1M(175.4M)815.9M938.3M522.2M
Investments21.8M92.6M(906.9M)8.7M7.8M7.4M

Vornado Realty ESG Sustainability

Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Vornado Realty's sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Vornado Realty's managers, analysts, and investors.
Environmental
Governance
Social

About Vornado Realty Fundamental Analysis

The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Vornado Realty Trust's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Vornado Realty using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vornado Realty Trust based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.

Pair Trading with Vornado Realty

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Vornado Realty position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Vornado Realty will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Vornado Realty could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Vornado Realty when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Vornado Realty - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Vornado Realty Trust to buy it.
The correlation of Vornado Realty is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Vornado Realty moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Vornado Realty Trust moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Vornado Realty can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Vornado Realty Trust offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Vornado Realty's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vornado Realty Trust Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Vornado Realty Trust Stock:
Check out Vornado Realty Piotroski F Score and Vornado Realty Altman Z Score analysis.
You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Is Diversified REITs space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vornado Realty. If investors know Vornado will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vornado Realty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.25)
Dividend Share
0.3
Earnings Share
(0.28)
Revenue Per Share
9.825
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.02)
The market value of Vornado Realty Trust is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vornado that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vornado Realty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vornado Realty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vornado Realty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vornado Realty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vornado Realty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vornado Realty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vornado Realty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.