Vocento (Spain) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.62

VOC Stock  EUR 0.62  0.01  1.64%   
Vocento's future price is the expected price of Vocento instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vocento performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Vocento Backtesting, Vocento Valuation, Vocento Correlation, Vocento Hype Analysis, Vocento Volatility, Vocento History as well as Vocento Performance.
  
Please specify Vocento's target price for which you would like Vocento odds to be computed.

Vocento Target Price Odds to finish over 0.62

The tendency of Vocento Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.62 90 days 0.62 
roughly 97.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vocento to move above the current price in 90 days from now is roughly 97.0 (This Vocento probability density function shows the probability of Vocento Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vocento has a beta of 0.51. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vocento average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vocento will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vocento has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Vocento Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vocento

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vocento. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.622.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.542.13
Details

Vocento Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vocento is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vocento's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vocento, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vocento within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.27
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.51
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio -0.21

Vocento Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vocento for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vocento can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vocento generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vocento has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Vocento Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vocento Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vocento's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vocento's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding120.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments29.4 M

Vocento Technical Analysis

Vocento's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vocento Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vocento. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vocento Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vocento Predictive Forecast Models

Vocento's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vocento's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vocento's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vocento

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vocento for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vocento help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Vocento generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Vocento has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
About 60.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Vocento Stock

Vocento financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vocento Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vocento with respect to the benefits of owning Vocento security.