VinaCapital Vietnam (UK) Probability of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 436.28

VOF Etf   437.00  2.50  0.58%   
VinaCapital Vietnam's future price is the expected price of VinaCapital Vietnam instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out VinaCapital Vietnam Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, VinaCapital Vietnam Correlation, VinaCapital Vietnam Hype Analysis, VinaCapital Vietnam Volatility, VinaCapital Vietnam History as well as VinaCapital Vietnam Performance.
  
Please specify VinaCapital Vietnam's target price for which you would like VinaCapital Vietnam odds to be computed.

VinaCapital Vietnam Target Price Odds to finish below 436.28

The tendency of VinaCapital Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  436.28  or more in 90 days
 437.00 90 days 436.28 
about 8.87
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of VinaCapital Vietnam to drop to  436.28  or more in 90 days from now is about 8.87 (This VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity probability density function shows the probability of VinaCapital Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of VinaCapital Vietnam price to stay between  436.28  and its current price of 437.0 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon VinaCapital Vietnam has a beta of 0.0379. This entails as returns on the market go up, VinaCapital Vietnam average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   VinaCapital Vietnam Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for VinaCapital Vietnam

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VinaCapital Vietnam. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
436.28437.07437.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
427.47428.26480.70
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
435.39436.18436.97
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
428.64434.29439.94
Details

VinaCapital Vietnam Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. VinaCapital Vietnam is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the VinaCapital Vietnam's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of VinaCapital Vietnam within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.11
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.04
σ
Overall volatility
11.88
Ir
Information ratio -0.29

VinaCapital Vietnam Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of VinaCapital Vietnam for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for VinaCapital Vietnam can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VinaCapital Vietnam generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Fidelity, Vanguard expand their active ETF shelves - InvestmentNews
The fund keeps all of the net assets in exotic instruments

VinaCapital Vietnam Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of VinaCapital Etf often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential VinaCapital Vietnam's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. VinaCapital Vietnam's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding157.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments36.8 M

VinaCapital Vietnam Technical Analysis

VinaCapital Vietnam's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VinaCapital Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity. In general, you should focus on analyzing VinaCapital Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

VinaCapital Vietnam Predictive Forecast Models

VinaCapital Vietnam's time-series forecasting models is one of many VinaCapital Vietnam's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary VinaCapital Vietnam's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about VinaCapital Vietnam

Checking the ongoing alerts about VinaCapital Vietnam for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for VinaCapital Vietnam help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
VinaCapital Vietnam generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Latest headline from news.google.com: Fidelity, Vanguard expand their active ETF shelves - InvestmentNews
The fund keeps all of the net assets in exotic instruments

Other Information on Investing in VinaCapital Etf

VinaCapital Vietnam financial ratios help investors to determine whether VinaCapital Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VinaCapital with respect to the benefits of owning VinaCapital Vietnam security.