Vishay Precision Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 15.19
| VPG Stock | USD 22.09 0.42 1.94% |
Vishay |
Vishay Precision Target Price Odds to finish below 15.19
The tendency of Vishay Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 15.19 or more in 90 days |
| 22.09 | 90 days | 15.19 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vishay Precision to drop to $ 15.19 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Vishay Precision Group probability density function shows the probability of Vishay Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vishay Precision price to stay between $ 15.19 and its current price of $22.09 at the end of the 90-day period is about 11.1 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.32 . This entails as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Vishay Precision will likely underperform. Additionally Vishay Precision Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Vishay Precision Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vishay Precision
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vishay Precision. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vishay Precision Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vishay Precision is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vishay Precision's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vishay Precision Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vishay Precision within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.46 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.32 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.72 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.18 |
Vishay Precision Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vishay Precision for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vishay Precision can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vishay Precision generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 93.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Vishay Intertechnology 150 V MOSFET Increases Efficiency With the Industrys Lowest RDS of ... |
Vishay Precision Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vishay Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vishay Precision's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vishay Precision's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 13.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 84 M |
Vishay Precision Technical Analysis
Vishay Precision's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vishay Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vishay Precision Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vishay Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vishay Precision Predictive Forecast Models
Vishay Precision's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vishay Precision's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vishay Precision's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vishay Precision
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vishay Precision for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vishay Precision help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vishay Precision generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 93.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Vishay Intertechnology 150 V MOSFET Increases Efficiency With the Industrys Lowest RDS of ... |
Check out Vishay Precision Backtesting, Vishay Precision Valuation, Vishay Precision Correlation, Vishay Precision Hype Analysis, Vishay Precision Volatility, Vishay Precision History as well as Vishay Precision Performance. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Is Electronic Equipment, Instruments & Components space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vishay Precision. If investors know Vishay will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vishay Precision listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.43) | Earnings Share 0.99 | Revenue Per Share 24.13 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.12) | Return On Assets 0.0394 |
The market value of Vishay Precision is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vishay that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vishay Precision's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vishay Precision's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vishay Precision's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vishay Precision's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vishay Precision's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vishay Precision is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vishay Precision's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.