Vincom Retail (Vietnam) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 18341.63
| VRE Stock | 18,300 50.00 0.27% |
Vincom |
Vincom Retail Target Price Odds to finish below 18341.63
The tendency of Vincom Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 18,342 after 90 days |
| 18,300 | 90 days | 18,342 | about 26.38 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vincom Retail to stay under 18,342 after 90 days from now is about 26.38 (This Vincom Retail JSC probability density function shows the probability of Vincom Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vincom Retail JSC price to stay between its current price of 18,300 and 18,342 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.03 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Vincom Retail has a beta of 0.33. This entails as returns on the market go up, Vincom Retail average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Vincom Retail JSC will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Vincom Retail JSC has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Vincom Retail Price Density |
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Predictive Modules for Vincom Retail
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vincom Retail JSC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vincom Retail Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vincom Retail is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vincom Retail's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vincom Retail JSC, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vincom Retail within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.33 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 660.90 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.16 |
Vincom Retail Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vincom Retail for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vincom Retail JSC can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vincom Retail JSC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Vincom Retail Technical Analysis
Vincom Retail's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vincom Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vincom Retail JSC. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vincom Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vincom Retail Predictive Forecast Models
Vincom Retail's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vincom Retail's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vincom Retail's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vincom Retail JSC
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vincom Retail for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vincom Retail JSC help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vincom Retail JSC generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Vincom Stock
Vincom Retail financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vincom Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vincom with respect to the benefits of owning Vincom Retail security.