Vanguard Telecommunication Services Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 78.39

VTCAX Fund  USD 78.39  0.37  0.47%   
Vanguard Telecommunicatio's future price is the expected price of Vanguard Telecommunicatio instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Vanguard Telecommunication Services performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Vanguard Telecommunicatio Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Vanguard Telecommunicatio Correlation, Vanguard Telecommunicatio Hype Analysis, Vanguard Telecommunicatio Volatility, Vanguard Telecommunicatio History as well as Vanguard Telecommunicatio Performance.
  
Please specify Vanguard Telecommunicatio's target price for which you would like Vanguard Telecommunicatio odds to be computed.

Vanguard Telecommunicatio Target Price Odds to finish below 78.39

The tendency of VANGUARD Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move below current price in 90 days
 78.39 90 days 78.39 
under 95
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vanguard Telecommunicatio to move below current price in 90 days from now is under 95 (This Vanguard Telecommunication Services probability density function shows the probability of VANGUARD Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vanguard Telecommunication Services has a beta of -0.11. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Vanguard Telecommunicatio are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Vanguard Telecommunication Services is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Vanguard Telecommunication Services has an alpha of 0.1624, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Vanguard Telecommunicatio Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Vanguard Telecommunicatio

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vanguard Telecommunicatio. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
77.5278.3979.26
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
70.5580.2381.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
75.5876.4577.32
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
73.2676.7780.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vanguard Telecommunicatio. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vanguard Telecommunicatio's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vanguard Telecommunicatio's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vanguard Telecommunicatio.

Vanguard Telecommunicatio Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vanguard Telecommunicatio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vanguard Telecommunicatio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vanguard Telecommunication Services, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vanguard Telecommunicatio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.11
σ
Overall volatility
3.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.06

Vanguard Telecommunicatio Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vanguard Telecommunicatio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vanguard Telecommunicatio can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: AOL American Online Company - Britannica
The fund keeps 98.74% of its net assets in stocks

Vanguard Telecommunicatio Technical Analysis

Vanguard Telecommunicatio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. VANGUARD Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vanguard Telecommunication Services. In general, you should focus on analyzing VANGUARD Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Vanguard Telecommunicatio Predictive Forecast Models

Vanguard Telecommunicatio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vanguard Telecommunicatio's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vanguard Telecommunicatio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Vanguard Telecommunicatio

Checking the ongoing alerts about Vanguard Telecommunicatio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vanguard Telecommunicatio help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Latest headline from news.google.com: AOL American Online Company - Britannica
The fund keeps 98.74% of its net assets in stocks

Other Information on Investing in VANGUARD Mutual Fund

Vanguard Telecommunicatio financial ratios help investors to determine whether VANGUARD Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in VANGUARD with respect to the benefits of owning Vanguard Telecommunicatio security.
Fundamentals Comparison
Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities
Funds Screener
Find actively-traded funds from around the world traded on over 30 global exchanges
Equity Forecasting
Use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum
Content Syndication
Quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal