ASURE SOFTWARE (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.08
| VTE1 Stock | EUR 9.10 0.10 1.09% |
ASURE |
ASURE SOFTWARE Target Price Odds to finish below 0.08
The tendency of ASURE Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to € 0.08 or more in 90 days |
| 9.10 | 90 days | 0.08 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ASURE SOFTWARE to drop to € 0.08 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This ASURE SOFTWARE probability density function shows the probability of ASURE Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ASURE SOFTWARE price to stay between € 0.08 and its current price of €9.1 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.15 . This entails ASURE SOFTWARE market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, ASURE SOFTWARE is expected to follow. Additionally ASURE SOFTWARE has an alpha of 0.163, implying that it can generate a 0.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ASURE SOFTWARE Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ASURE SOFTWARE
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ASURE SOFTWARE. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.ASURE SOFTWARE Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ASURE SOFTWARE is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ASURE SOFTWARE's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ASURE SOFTWARE, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ASURE SOFTWARE within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.16 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 1.15 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.06 |
ASURE SOFTWARE Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ASURE SOFTWARE for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ASURE SOFTWARE can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ASURE SOFTWARE has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 95.83 M. Net Loss for the year was (14.47 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. |
ASURE SOFTWARE Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ASURE Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ASURE SOFTWARE's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ASURE SOFTWARE's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 20.2 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 4.1 M |
ASURE SOFTWARE Technical Analysis
ASURE SOFTWARE's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ASURE Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ASURE SOFTWARE. In general, you should focus on analyzing ASURE Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ASURE SOFTWARE Predictive Forecast Models
ASURE SOFTWARE's time-series forecasting models is one of many ASURE SOFTWARE's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ASURE SOFTWARE's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ASURE SOFTWARE
Checking the ongoing alerts about ASURE SOFTWARE for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ASURE SOFTWARE help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ASURE SOFTWARE has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 95.83 M. Net Loss for the year was (14.47 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 0. |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in ASURE Stock
When determining whether ASURE SOFTWARE is a strong investment it is important to analyze ASURE SOFTWARE's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact ASURE SOFTWARE's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding ASURE Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out ASURE SOFTWARE Backtesting, ASURE SOFTWARE Valuation, ASURE SOFTWARE Correlation, ASURE SOFTWARE Hype Analysis, ASURE SOFTWARE Volatility, ASURE SOFTWARE History as well as ASURE SOFTWARE Performance. For information on how to trade ASURE Stock refer to our How to Trade ASURE Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.