ASURE SOFTWARE (Germany) Price Patterns

VTE1 Stock  EUR 7.90  0.00  0.00%   
The relative strength momentum indicator of ASURE SOFTWARE's share price is above 70 at the present time. This entails that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling ASURE, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 71

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ASURE SOFTWARE's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of ASURE SOFTWARE and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from ASURE SOFTWARE's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ASURE SOFTWARE, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using ASURE SOFTWARE hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ASURE SOFTWARE from the perspective of ASURE SOFTWARE response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in ASURE SOFTWARE to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying ASURE because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

ASURE SOFTWARE after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 7.84  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out ASURE SOFTWARE Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade ASURE Stock refer to our How to Trade ASURE Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.716.357.99
Details

ASURE SOFTWARE After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of ASURE SOFTWARE at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ASURE SOFTWARE or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of ASURE SOFTWARE, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

ASURE SOFTWARE Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting ASURE SOFTWARE's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ASURE SOFTWARE's historical news coverage. ASURE SOFTWARE's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 6.20 and 9.48, respectively. We have considered ASURE SOFTWARE's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
7.90
7.84
After-hype Price
9.48
Upside
ASURE SOFTWARE is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ASURE SOFTWARE is based on 3 months time horizon.

ASURE SOFTWARE Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ASURE SOFTWARE is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ASURE SOFTWARE backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ASURE SOFTWARE, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.19 
1.64
  0.06 
  3.41 
7 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.90
7.84
0.76 
546.67  
Notes

ASURE SOFTWARE Hype Timeline

ASURE SOFTWARE is at this time traded for 7.90on Berlin Exchange of Germany. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 3.41. ASURE is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 7.84. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.76%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.19%. The volatility of related hype on ASURE SOFTWARE is about 9.14%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.31. The company has Price to Book (P/B) ratio of 1.34. Historically many companies with similar price-to-book (P/B) ratio do better than the market in the long run. ASURE SOFTWARE has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.44. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 3:2 split on the 2nd of May 2012. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out ASURE SOFTWARE Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade ASURE Stock refer to our How to Trade ASURE Stock guide.

ASURE SOFTWARE Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to ASURE SOFTWARE's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ASURE SOFTWARE's future price movements. Getting to know how ASURE SOFTWARE's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ASURE SOFTWARE may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

ASURE SOFTWARE Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ASURE price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ASURE using various technical indicators. When you analyze ASURE charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About ASURE SOFTWARE Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of ASURE SOFTWARE stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as ASURE SOFTWARE, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of ASURE SOFTWARE based on analysis of ASURE SOFTWARE hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to ASURE SOFTWARE's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to ASURE SOFTWARE's related companies.

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Complementary Tools for ASURE Stock analysis

When running ASURE SOFTWARE's price analysis, check to measure ASURE SOFTWARE's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ASURE SOFTWARE is operating at the current time. Most of ASURE SOFTWARE's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ASURE SOFTWARE's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ASURE SOFTWARE's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ASURE SOFTWARE to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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