Vulcan Minerals Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 21.86
| VULMF Stock | USD 0.09 0.01 5.88% |
Vulcan |
Vulcan Minerals Target Price Odds to finish over 21.86
The tendency of Vulcan Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 21.86 or more in 90 days |
| 0.09 | 90 days | 21.86 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vulcan Minerals to move over $ 21.86 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This Vulcan Minerals probability density function shows the probability of Vulcan Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vulcan Minerals price to stay between its current price of $ 0.09 and $ 21.86 at the end of the 90-day period is about 44.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vulcan Minerals has a beta of -1.56. This entails as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Vulcan Minerals are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Vulcan Minerals is expected to outperform its benchmark. Moreover Vulcan Minerals has an alpha of 1.0154, implying that it can generate a 1.02 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Vulcan Minerals Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vulcan Minerals
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vulcan Minerals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vulcan Minerals Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vulcan Minerals is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vulcan Minerals' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vulcan Minerals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vulcan Minerals within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 1.02 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.56 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.01 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.08 |
Vulcan Minerals Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vulcan Minerals for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vulcan Minerals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vulcan Minerals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Vulcan Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Vulcan Minerals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Vulcan Minerals has accumulated about 5.43 M in cash with (1.48 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
| Roughly 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Vulcan Minerals Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vulcan Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vulcan Minerals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vulcan Minerals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 111 M |
Vulcan Minerals Technical Analysis
Vulcan Minerals' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vulcan Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vulcan Minerals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vulcan Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vulcan Minerals Predictive Forecast Models
Vulcan Minerals' time-series forecasting models is one of many Vulcan Minerals' pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vulcan Minerals' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vulcan Minerals
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vulcan Minerals for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vulcan Minerals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vulcan Minerals had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| Vulcan Minerals has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Vulcan Minerals has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Vulcan Minerals has accumulated about 5.43 M in cash with (1.48 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.05. | |
| Roughly 27.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Vulcan Pink Sheet
Vulcan Minerals financial ratios help investors to determine whether Vulcan Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Vulcan with respect to the benefits of owning Vulcan Minerals security.