Vital Energy Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.26
| VUX Stock | CAD 0.21 0.01 5.00% |
Vital |
Vital Energy Target Price Odds to finish over 0.26
The tendency of Vital Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over C$ 0.26 or more in 90 days |
| 0.21 | 90 days | 0.26 | about 28.93 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Vital Energy to move over C$ 0.26 or more in 90 days from now is about 28.93 (This Vital Energy probability density function shows the probability of Vital Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Vital Energy price to stay between its current price of C$ 0.21 and C$ 0.26 at the end of the 90-day period is about 69.75 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Vital Energy has a beta of -1.29. This entails as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Vital Energy are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Vital Energy is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Vital Energy has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Vital Energy Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Vital Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Vital Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Vital Energy Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Vital Energy is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Vital Energy's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Vital Energy, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Vital Energy within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -1.29 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Vital Energy Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Vital Energy for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Vital Energy can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Vital Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Vital Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Vital Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Vital Energy has accumulated 9.09 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.01, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Vital Energy has a current ratio of 0.35, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Vital Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Vital Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Vital Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Vital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Vital Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 14.43 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.37 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.81 M. | |
| About 65.0% of Vital Energy outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: FY2024 EPS Estimates for Vital Energy Cut by Analyst - MarketBeat |
Vital Energy Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Vital Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Vital Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vital Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 82.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 7.1 M |
Vital Energy Technical Analysis
Vital Energy's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Vital Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Vital Energy. In general, you should focus on analyzing Vital Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Vital Energy Predictive Forecast Models
Vital Energy's time-series forecasting models is one of many Vital Energy's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Vital Energy's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Vital Energy
Checking the ongoing alerts about Vital Energy for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Vital Energy help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Vital Energy generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Vital Energy has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Vital Energy has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Vital Energy has accumulated 9.09 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.01, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Vital Energy has a current ratio of 0.35, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Vital Energy until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Vital Energy's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Vital Energy sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Vital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Vital Energy's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 14.43 M. Net Loss for the year was (5.37 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.81 M. | |
| About 65.0% of Vital Energy outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from news.google.com: FY2024 EPS Estimates for Vital Energy Cut by Analyst - MarketBeat |
Additional Tools for Vital Stock Analysis
When running Vital Energy's price analysis, check to measure Vital Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vital Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Vital Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vital Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vital Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vital Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.