Wayfair Stock Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 29.44
| W Stock | USD 45.41 0.11 0.24% |
Wayfair |
Wayfair Target Price Odds to finish below 29.44
The tendency of Wayfair Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 29.44 or more in 90 days |
| 45.41 | 90 days | 29.44 | near 1 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wayfair to drop to $ 29.44 or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Wayfair probability density function shows the probability of Wayfair Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wayfair price to stay between $ 29.44 and its current price of $45.41 at the end of the 90-day period is about 39.94 .
Taking into account the 90-day investment horizon Wayfair has a beta of 0.6. This entails as returns on the market go up, Wayfair average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wayfair will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wayfair has an alpha of 0.0504, implying that it can generate a 0.0504 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Wayfair Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Wayfair
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wayfair. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wayfair's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Wayfair Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wayfair is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wayfair's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wayfair, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wayfair within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.05 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.60 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.86 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0 |
Wayfair Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wayfair for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wayfair can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Wayfair had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the annual revenue of 12 B. Total Loss to common stockholders was (738 M) with gross profit before all taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.42 B. | |
| Over 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Wayfair Inc Trading 7.9 percent Higher on Nov 25 |
Wayfair Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wayfair Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wayfair's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wayfair's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 114 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.4 B |
Wayfair Technical Analysis
Wayfair's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wayfair Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wayfair. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wayfair Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Wayfair Predictive Forecast Models
Wayfair's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wayfair's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wayfair's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Wayfair
Checking the ongoing alerts about Wayfair for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wayfair help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Wayfair had very high historical volatility over the last 90 days | |
| The company reported the annual revenue of 12 B. Total Loss to common stockholders was (738 M) with gross profit before all taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.42 B. | |
| Over 95.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: Wayfair Inc Trading 7.9 percent Higher on Nov 25 |
Additional Tools for Wayfair Stock Analysis
When running Wayfair's price analysis, check to measure Wayfair's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wayfair is operating at the current time. Most of Wayfair's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wayfair's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wayfair's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wayfair to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.