PEEL MINING (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.07

W5E Stock  EUR 0.07  0  2.96%   
PEEL MINING's future price is the expected price of PEEL MINING instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of PEEL MINING performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out PEEL MINING Backtesting, PEEL MINING Valuation, PEEL MINING Correlation, PEEL MINING Hype Analysis, PEEL MINING Volatility, PEEL MINING History as well as PEEL MINING Performance.
  
Please specify PEEL MINING's target price for which you would like PEEL MINING odds to be computed.

PEEL MINING Target Price Odds to finish over 0.07

The tendency of PEEL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over € 0.07  or more in 90 days
 0.07 90 days 0.07 
about 14.61
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of PEEL MINING to move over € 0.07  or more in 90 days from now is about 14.61 (This PEEL MINING probability density function shows the probability of PEEL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of PEEL MINING price to stay between its current price of € 0.07  and € 0.07  at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.39 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon PEEL MINING has a beta of 0.5. This entails as returns on the market go up, PEEL MINING average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding PEEL MINING will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally PEEL MINING has an alpha of 0.5457, implying that it can generate a 0.55 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   PEEL MINING Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for PEEL MINING

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as PEEL MINING. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.075.60
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.055.58
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
00.075.60
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.060.070.07
Details

PEEL MINING Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. PEEL MINING is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the PEEL MINING's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold PEEL MINING, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of PEEL MINING within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.55
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.50
σ
Overall volatility
0.01
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

PEEL MINING Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of PEEL MINING for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for PEEL MINING can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PEEL MINING is way too risky over 90 days horizon
PEEL MINING has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
PEEL MINING appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

PEEL MINING Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of PEEL Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential PEEL MINING's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. PEEL MINING's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding580.8 M

PEEL MINING Technical Analysis

PEEL MINING's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. PEEL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of PEEL MINING. In general, you should focus on analyzing PEEL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

PEEL MINING Predictive Forecast Models

PEEL MINING's time-series forecasting models is one of many PEEL MINING's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary PEEL MINING's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about PEEL MINING

Checking the ongoing alerts about PEEL MINING for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for PEEL MINING help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
PEEL MINING is way too risky over 90 days horizon
PEEL MINING has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
PEEL MINING appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues

Other Information on Investing in PEEL Stock

PEEL MINING financial ratios help investors to determine whether PEEL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in PEEL with respect to the benefits of owning PEEL MINING security.