Wah Nobel (Pakistan) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 228.41

WAHN Stock   220.24  0.45  0.20%   
Wah Nobel's future price is the expected price of Wah Nobel instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wah Nobel Chemicals performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wah Nobel Backtesting, Wah Nobel Valuation, Wah Nobel Correlation, Wah Nobel Hype Analysis, Wah Nobel Volatility, Wah Nobel History as well as Wah Nobel Performance.
  
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Wah Nobel Target Price Odds to finish over 228.41

The tendency of Wah Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move over  228.41  or more in 90 days
 220.24 90 days 228.41 
about 6.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wah Nobel to move over  228.41  or more in 90 days from now is about 6.14 (This Wah Nobel Chemicals probability density function shows the probability of Wah Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wah Nobel Chemicals price to stay between its current price of  220.24  and  228.41  at the end of the 90-day period is about 16.09 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wah Nobel has a beta of 0.37. This entails as returns on the market go up, Wah Nobel average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wah Nobel Chemicals will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wah Nobel Chemicals has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Wah Nobel Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wah Nobel

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wah Nobel Chemicals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
218.25220.69223.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
178.14180.58242.76
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
225.97228.41230.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
207.08215.53223.98
Details

Wah Nobel Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wah Nobel is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wah Nobel's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wah Nobel Chemicals, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wah Nobel within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.03
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.37
σ
Overall volatility
10.49
Ir
Information ratio -0.04

Wah Nobel Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wah Nobel for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wah Nobel Chemicals can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wah Nobel Chemicals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Wah Nobel Technical Analysis

Wah Nobel's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wah Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wah Nobel Chemicals. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wah Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wah Nobel Predictive Forecast Models

Wah Nobel's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wah Nobel's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wah Nobel's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wah Nobel Chemicals

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wah Nobel for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wah Nobel Chemicals help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wah Nobel Chemicals generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Wah Stock

Wah Nobel financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wah Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wah with respect to the benefits of owning Wah Nobel security.