Wallenstam (Sweden) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 41.16

WALL-B Stock  SEK 51.40  0.35  0.69%   
Wallenstam's future price is the expected price of Wallenstam instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wallenstam AB performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wallenstam Backtesting, Wallenstam Valuation, Wallenstam Correlation, Wallenstam Hype Analysis, Wallenstam Volatility, Wallenstam History as well as Wallenstam Performance.
  
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Wallenstam Target Price Odds to finish over 41.16

The tendency of Wallenstam Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above kr 41.16  in 90 days
 51.40 90 days 41.16 
close to 99
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wallenstam to stay above kr 41.16  in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Wallenstam AB probability density function shows the probability of Wallenstam Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wallenstam AB price to stay between kr 41.16  and its current price of kr51.4 at the end of the 90-day period is about 23.71 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wallenstam has a beta of 0.35. This entails as returns on the market go up, Wallenstam average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wallenstam AB will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wallenstam AB has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Wallenstam Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wallenstam

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wallenstam AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.7751.4053.03
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
51.1952.8254.45
Details

Wallenstam Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wallenstam is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wallenstam's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wallenstam AB, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wallenstam within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.08
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.35
σ
Overall volatility
3.61
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Wallenstam Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wallenstam for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wallenstam AB can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wallenstam AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Wallenstam AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Wallenstam AB has accumulated 6.96 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 108.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Wallenstam AB has a current ratio of 0.04, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Wallenstam until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Wallenstam's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Wallenstam AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Wallenstam to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Wallenstam's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 42.0% of Wallenstam outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Wallenstam Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wallenstam Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wallenstam's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wallenstam's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding323 M
Cash And Short Term Investments236 M

Wallenstam Technical Analysis

Wallenstam's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wallenstam Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wallenstam AB. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wallenstam Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wallenstam Predictive Forecast Models

Wallenstam's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wallenstam's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wallenstam's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wallenstam AB

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wallenstam for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wallenstam AB help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wallenstam AB generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Wallenstam AB has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Wallenstam AB has accumulated 6.96 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 108.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Wallenstam AB has a current ratio of 0.04, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Wallenstam until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Wallenstam's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Wallenstam AB sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Wallenstam to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Wallenstam's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 42.0% of Wallenstam outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Wallenstam Stock

Wallenstam financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wallenstam Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wallenstam with respect to the benefits of owning Wallenstam security.