Wavestone (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 45.60

WAVE Stock  EUR 45.60  1.20  2.56%   
Wavestone's future price is the expected price of Wavestone instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wavestone SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wavestone Backtesting, Wavestone Valuation, Wavestone Correlation, Wavestone Hype Analysis, Wavestone Volatility, Wavestone History as well as Wavestone Performance.
  
Please specify Wavestone's target price for which you would like Wavestone odds to be computed.

Wavestone Target Price Odds to finish over 45.60

The tendency of Wavestone Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 45.60 90 days 45.60 
over 95.39
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wavestone to move above the current price in 90 days from now is over 95.39 (This Wavestone SA probability density function shows the probability of Wavestone Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wavestone has a beta of 0.43. This entails as returns on the market go up, Wavestone average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wavestone SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wavestone SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Wavestone Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wavestone

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wavestone SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
43.7145.6047.49
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.7734.6650.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
46.8448.7350.62
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
41.7347.5553.36
Details

Wavestone Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wavestone is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wavestone's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wavestone SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wavestone within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.35
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.43
σ
Overall volatility
4.05
Ir
Information ratio -0.22

Wavestone Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wavestone for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wavestone SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wavestone SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Wavestone Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wavestone Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wavestone's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wavestone's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding19.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments108.3 M

Wavestone Technical Analysis

Wavestone's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wavestone Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wavestone SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wavestone Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wavestone Predictive Forecast Models

Wavestone's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wavestone's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wavestone's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wavestone SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wavestone for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wavestone SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wavestone SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Wavestone Stock

Wavestone financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wavestone Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wavestone with respect to the benefits of owning Wavestone security.