TRAVEL + (Germany) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 52.50

WD5A Stock  EUR 52.50  1.00  1.94%   
TRAVEL +'s future price is the expected price of TRAVEL + instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of TRAVEL LEISURE DL 01 performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out TRAVEL + Backtesting, TRAVEL + Valuation, TRAVEL + Correlation, TRAVEL + Hype Analysis, TRAVEL + Volatility, TRAVEL + History as well as TRAVEL + Performance.
  
Please specify TRAVEL +'s target price for which you would like TRAVEL + odds to be computed.

TRAVEL + Target Price Odds to finish over 52.50

The tendency of TRAVEL Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 52.50 90 days 52.50 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of TRAVEL + to move above the current price in 90 days from now is near 1 (This TRAVEL LEISURE DL 01 probability density function shows the probability of TRAVEL Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon TRAVEL + has a beta of 0.23. This entails as returns on the market go up, TRAVEL + average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding TRAVEL LEISURE DL 01 will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally TRAVEL LEISURE DL 01 has an alpha of 0.4483, implying that it can generate a 0.45 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   TRAVEL + Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for TRAVEL +

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as TRAVEL LEISURE DL. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
50.8952.5054.11
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
47.2557.2358.84
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
49.0750.6852.30
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
48.7150.4852.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as TRAVEL +. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against TRAVEL +'s peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, TRAVEL +'s competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in TRAVEL LEISURE DL.

TRAVEL + Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. TRAVEL + is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the TRAVEL +'s value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold TRAVEL LEISURE DL 01, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of TRAVEL + within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.45
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.23
σ
Overall volatility
4.26
Ir
Information ratio 0.22

TRAVEL + Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of TRAVEL + for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for TRAVEL LEISURE DL can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 3.54 B. Net Loss for the year was (90 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.57 B.
Over 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

TRAVEL + Technical Analysis

TRAVEL +'s future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. TRAVEL Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of TRAVEL LEISURE DL 01. In general, you should focus on analyzing TRAVEL Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

TRAVEL + Predictive Forecast Models

TRAVEL +'s time-series forecasting models is one of many TRAVEL +'s stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary TRAVEL +'s historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about TRAVEL LEISURE DL

Checking the ongoing alerts about TRAVEL + for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for TRAVEL LEISURE DL help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
The company reported the revenue of 3.54 B. Net Loss for the year was (90 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 1.57 B.
Over 96.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in TRAVEL Stock

TRAVEL + financial ratios help investors to determine whether TRAVEL Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in TRAVEL with respect to the benefits of owning TRAVEL + security.