Whirlpool (Brazil) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 4.21

WHRL3 Stock  BRL 4.21  0.01  0.24%   
Whirlpool's future price is the expected price of Whirlpool instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Whirlpool SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Whirlpool Backtesting, Whirlpool Valuation, Whirlpool Correlation, Whirlpool Hype Analysis, Whirlpool Volatility, Whirlpool History as well as Whirlpool Performance.
For more information on how to buy Whirlpool Stock please use our How to Invest in Whirlpool guide.
  
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Whirlpool Target Price Odds to finish over 4.21

The tendency of Whirlpool Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 4.21 90 days 4.21 
about 26.6
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Whirlpool to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 26.6 (This Whirlpool SA probability density function shows the probability of Whirlpool Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Whirlpool has a beta of 0.0187. This entails as returns on the market go up, Whirlpool average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Whirlpool SA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Whirlpool SA has an alpha of 0.0618, implying that it can generate a 0.0618 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Whirlpool Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Whirlpool

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Whirlpool SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.264.216.16
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.264.216.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
2.384.336.27
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
3.774.044.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Whirlpool. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Whirlpool's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Whirlpool's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Whirlpool SA.

Whirlpool Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Whirlpool is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Whirlpool's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Whirlpool SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Whirlpool within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0.06
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.02
σ
Overall volatility
0.16
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Whirlpool Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Whirlpool for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Whirlpool SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Whirlpool SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Whirlpool Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Whirlpool Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Whirlpool's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Whirlpool's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.5 B
Cash And Short Term Investments1.6 B

Whirlpool Technical Analysis

Whirlpool's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Whirlpool Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Whirlpool SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Whirlpool Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Whirlpool Predictive Forecast Models

Whirlpool's time-series forecasting models is one of many Whirlpool's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Whirlpool's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Whirlpool SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Whirlpool for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Whirlpool SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Whirlpool SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
About 99.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Additional Tools for Whirlpool Stock Analysis

When running Whirlpool's price analysis, check to measure Whirlpool's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Whirlpool is operating at the current time. Most of Whirlpool's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Whirlpool's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Whirlpool's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Whirlpool to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.