Winner Group (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 1.5
| WINNER Stock | THB 2.06 0.02 0.98% |
Winner |
Winner Group Target Price Odds to finish below 1.5
The tendency of Winner Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to 1.50 or more in 90 days |
| 2.06 | 90 days | 1.50 | roughly 2.06 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Winner Group to drop to 1.50 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.06 (This Winner Group Enterprise probability density function shows the probability of Winner Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Winner Group Enterprise price to stay between 1.50 and its current price of 2.06 at the end of the 90-day period is about 52.51 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Winner Group Enterprise has a beta of -0.0143. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Winner Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Winner Group Enterprise is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Winner Group Enterprise has an alpha of 0.0556, implying that it can generate a 0.0556 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Winner Group Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Winner Group
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Winner Group Enterprise. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Winner Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Winner Group Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Winner Group is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Winner Group's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Winner Group Enterprise, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Winner Group within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.06 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.01 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.26 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.08 |
Winner Group Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Winner Group for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Winner Group Enterprise can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Winner Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Winner Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Winner Group Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Winner Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Winner Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Winner Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 600 M |
Winner Group Technical Analysis
Winner Group's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Winner Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Winner Group Enterprise. In general, you should focus on analyzing Winner Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Winner Group Predictive Forecast Models
Winner Group's time-series forecasting models is one of many Winner Group's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Winner Group's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Winner Group Enterprise
Checking the ongoing alerts about Winner Group for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Winner Group Enterprise help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Winner Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon | |
| Winner Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues | |
| About 64.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Winner Stock
Winner Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether Winner Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Winner with respect to the benefits of owning Winner Group security.