Wacker Chemie Ag Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 105.0
| WKCMF Stock | USD 72.28 3.51 4.63% |
Wacker |
Wacker Chemie Target Price Odds to finish over 105.0
The tendency of Wacker Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 105.00 or more in 90 days |
| 72.28 | 90 days | 105.00 | about 1.78 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wacker Chemie to move over $ 105.00 or more in 90 days from now is about 1.78 (This Wacker Chemie AG probability density function shows the probability of Wacker Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wacker Chemie AG price to stay between its current price of $ 72.28 and $ 105.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 98.0 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Wacker Chemie has a beta of 0.47. This entails as returns on the market go up, Wacker Chemie average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wacker Chemie AG will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wacker Chemie AG has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Wacker Chemie Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Wacker Chemie
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wacker Chemie AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Wacker Chemie Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wacker Chemie is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wacker Chemie's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wacker Chemie AG, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wacker Chemie within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.4 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.47 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 7.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.19 |
Wacker Chemie Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wacker Chemie for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wacker Chemie AG can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Wacker Chemie AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Wacker Chemie Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wacker Pink Sheet often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wacker Chemie's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wacker Chemie's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 49.7 M |
Wacker Chemie Technical Analysis
Wacker Chemie's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wacker Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wacker Chemie AG. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wacker Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Wacker Chemie Predictive Forecast Models
Wacker Chemie's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wacker Chemie's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wacker Chemie's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Wacker Chemie AG
Checking the ongoing alerts about Wacker Chemie for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wacker Chemie AG help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Wacker Chemie AG generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| About 69.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Other Information on Investing in Wacker Pink Sheet
Wacker Chemie financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wacker Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wacker with respect to the benefits of owning Wacker Chemie security.