Worldline (France) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2.67

WLN Stock  EUR 6.15  0.22  3.45%   
Worldline's future price is the expected price of Worldline instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Worldline SA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Worldline Backtesting, Worldline Valuation, Worldline Correlation, Worldline Hype Analysis, Worldline Volatility, Worldline History as well as Worldline Performance.
  
Please specify Worldline's target price for which you would like Worldline odds to be computed.

Worldline Target Price Odds to finish below 2.67

The tendency of Worldline Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 2.67  or more in 90 days
 6.15 90 days 2.67 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Worldline to drop to € 2.67  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Worldline SA probability density function shows the probability of Worldline Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Worldline SA price to stay between € 2.67  and its current price of €6.15 at the end of the 90-day period is about 21.71 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Worldline SA has a beta of -0.78. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Worldline are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Worldline SA is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Worldline SA has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Worldline Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Worldline

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Worldline SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.496.3710.25
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1.835.719.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
3.157.0310.92
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
6.076.406.73
Details

Worldline Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Worldline is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Worldline's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Worldline SA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Worldline within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.22
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.78
σ
Overall volatility
0.87
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Worldline Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Worldline for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Worldline SA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Worldline SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Worldline SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Worldline SA has accumulated 3.76 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 9.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Worldline SA has a current ratio of 0.96, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Worldline until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Worldline's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Worldline SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Worldline to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Worldline's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 3.69 B. Net Loss for the year was (751.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.86 B.
About 56.0% of Worldline outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

Worldline Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Worldline Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Worldline's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Worldline's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding207.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments1.1 B

Worldline Technical Analysis

Worldline's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Worldline Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Worldline SA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Worldline Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Worldline Predictive Forecast Models

Worldline's time-series forecasting models is one of many Worldline's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Worldline's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Worldline SA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Worldline for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Worldline SA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Worldline SA generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Worldline SA has high historical volatility and very poor performance
Worldline SA has accumulated 3.76 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 9.6, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Worldline SA has a current ratio of 0.96, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Worldline until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Worldline's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Worldline SA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Worldline to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Worldline's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the revenue of 3.69 B. Net Loss for the year was (751.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 2.86 B.
About 56.0% of Worldline outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors

Other Information on Investing in Worldline Stock

Worldline financial ratios help investors to determine whether Worldline Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Worldline with respect to the benefits of owning Worldline security.