Wallenius Wilhelmsen (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 8.96

WNL Stock  EUR 8.66  0.17  1.93%   
Wallenius Wilhelmsen's future price is the expected price of Wallenius Wilhelmsen instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wallenius Wilhelmsen Backtesting, Wallenius Wilhelmsen Valuation, Wallenius Wilhelmsen Correlation, Wallenius Wilhelmsen Hype Analysis, Wallenius Wilhelmsen Volatility, Wallenius Wilhelmsen History as well as Wallenius Wilhelmsen Performance.
  
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Wallenius Wilhelmsen Target Price Odds to finish below 8.96

The tendency of Wallenius Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under € 8.96  after 90 days
 8.66 90 days 8.96 
about 17.23
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wallenius Wilhelmsen to stay under € 8.96  after 90 days from now is about 17.23 (This Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA probability density function shows the probability of Wallenius Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA price to stay between its current price of € 8.66  and € 8.96  at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.55 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Wallenius Wilhelmsen has a beta of 0.39. This entails as returns on the market go up, Wallenius Wilhelmsen average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA has an alpha of 0.0027, implying that it can generate a 0.002668 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Wallenius Wilhelmsen Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wallenius Wilhelmsen

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.868.6511.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
5.047.8310.62
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
5.127.9010.69
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.469.069.66
Details

Wallenius Wilhelmsen Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wallenius Wilhelmsen is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wallenius Wilhelmsen's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wallenius Wilhelmsen within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
0
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.39
σ
Overall volatility
0.85
Ir
Information ratio -0.02

Wallenius Wilhelmsen Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wallenius Wilhelmsen for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wallenius Wilhelmsen generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Wallenius Wilhelmsen has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Wallenius Wilhelmsen Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wallenius Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wallenius Wilhelmsen's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wallenius Wilhelmsen's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding422.4 M

Wallenius Wilhelmsen Technical Analysis

Wallenius Wilhelmsen's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wallenius Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wallenius Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wallenius Wilhelmsen Predictive Forecast Models

Wallenius Wilhelmsen's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wallenius Wilhelmsen's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wallenius Wilhelmsen's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wallenius Wilhelmsen for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wallenius Wilhelmsen generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Wallenius Wilhelmsen has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
About 76.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Wallenius Stock

Wallenius Wilhelmsen financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wallenius Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wallenius with respect to the benefits of owning Wallenius Wilhelmsen security.