Wattanapat Hospital (Thailand) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.75

WPH Stock  THB 9.45  0.20  2.07%   
Wattanapat Hospital's future price is the expected price of Wattanapat Hospital instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Wattanapat Hospital Trang performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Wattanapat Hospital Backtesting, Wattanapat Hospital Valuation, Wattanapat Hospital Correlation, Wattanapat Hospital Hype Analysis, Wattanapat Hospital Volatility, Wattanapat Hospital History as well as Wattanapat Hospital Performance.
  
Please specify Wattanapat Hospital's target price for which you would like Wattanapat Hospital odds to be computed.

Wattanapat Hospital Target Price Odds to finish over 7.75

The tendency of Wattanapat Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay above  7.75  in 90 days
 9.45 90 days 7.75 
about 98.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Wattanapat Hospital to stay above  7.75  in 90 days from now is about 98.0 (This Wattanapat Hospital Trang probability density function shows the probability of Wattanapat Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Wattanapat Hospital Trang price to stay between  7.75  and its current price of 9.45 at the end of the 90-day period is about 15.08 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Wattanapat Hospital Trang has a beta of -0.0844. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Wattanapat Hospital are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Wattanapat Hospital Trang is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Wattanapat Hospital Trang has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Wattanapat Hospital Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Wattanapat Hospital

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Wattanapat Hospital Trang. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.479.45954.45
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.336.51951.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.178.63135.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
9.5810.5611.53
Details

Wattanapat Hospital Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Wattanapat Hospital is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Wattanapat Hospital's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Wattanapat Hospital Trang, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Wattanapat Hospital within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.23
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.08
σ
Overall volatility
1.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.16

Wattanapat Hospital Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Wattanapat Hospital for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Wattanapat Hospital Trang can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wattanapat Hospital is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Wattanapat Hospital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Wattanapat Hospital Trang has accumulated 584.02 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 26.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Wattanapat Hospital Trang has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Wattanapat Hospital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Wattanapat Hospital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Wattanapat Hospital Trang sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Wattanapat to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Wattanapat Hospital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 70.0% of Wattanapat Hospital outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Wattanapat Hospital Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Wattanapat Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Wattanapat Hospital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Wattanapat Hospital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding600 M

Wattanapat Hospital Technical Analysis

Wattanapat Hospital's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Wattanapat Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Wattanapat Hospital Trang. In general, you should focus on analyzing Wattanapat Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Wattanapat Hospital Predictive Forecast Models

Wattanapat Hospital's time-series forecasting models is one of many Wattanapat Hospital's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Wattanapat Hospital's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Wattanapat Hospital Trang

Checking the ongoing alerts about Wattanapat Hospital for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Wattanapat Hospital Trang help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Wattanapat Hospital is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Wattanapat Hospital appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Wattanapat Hospital Trang has accumulated 584.02 M in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 26.0, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Wattanapat Hospital Trang has a current ratio of 0.78, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Wattanapat Hospital until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Wattanapat Hospital's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Wattanapat Hospital Trang sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Wattanapat to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Wattanapat Hospital's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 70.0% of Wattanapat Hospital outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Wattanapat Stock

Wattanapat Hospital financial ratios help investors to determine whether Wattanapat Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Wattanapat with respect to the benefits of owning Wattanapat Hospital security.