ETC On (UK) Chance of Future Etf Price Finishing Under 28.18

WWTU Etf   28.72  0.11  0.38%   
ETC On's future price is the expected price of ETC On instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of ETC on CMCI performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out ETC On Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, ETC On Correlation, ETC On Hype Analysis, ETC On Volatility, ETC On History as well as ETC On Performance.
  
Please specify ETC On's target price for which you would like ETC On odds to be computed.

ETC On Target Price Odds to finish below 28.18

The tendency of ETC Etf price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  28.18  or more in 90 days
 28.72 90 days 28.18 
about 5.46
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ETC On to drop to  28.18  or more in 90 days from now is about 5.46 (This ETC on CMCI probability density function shows the probability of ETC Etf to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ETC on CMCI price to stay between  28.18  and its current price of 28.72 at the end of the 90-day period is about 7.85 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ETC on CMCI has a beta of -0.2. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding ETC On are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, ETC on CMCI is likely to outperform the market. Additionally ETC on CMCI has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   ETC On Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for ETC On

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ETC on CMCI. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
27.4228.7230.02
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
25.4126.7131.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
27.7429.0430.35
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
27.8228.4329.03
Details

ETC On Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ETC On is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ETC On's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ETC on CMCI, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ETC On within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.05
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.2
σ
Overall volatility
1.11
Ir
Information ratio -0.14

ETC On Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ETC On for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ETC on CMCI can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ETC on CMCI generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

ETC On Technical Analysis

ETC On's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ETC Etf technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ETC on CMCI. In general, you should focus on analyzing ETC Etf price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

ETC On Predictive Forecast Models

ETC On's time-series forecasting models is one of many ETC On's etf analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ETC On's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the etf market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about ETC on CMCI

Checking the ongoing alerts about ETC On for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ETC on CMCI help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
ETC on CMCI generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in ETC Etf

ETC On financial ratios help investors to determine whether ETC Etf is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ETC with respect to the benefits of owning ETC On security.