Hilltop Holdings (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 29.6
| WXF Stock | EUR 29.60 0.20 0.67% |
Hilltop |
Hilltop Holdings Target Price Odds to finish over 29.6
The tendency of Hilltop Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 29.60 | 90 days | 29.60 | about 24.44 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Hilltop Holdings to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 24.44 (This Hilltop Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Hilltop Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Hilltop Holdings has a beta of -0.13. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Hilltop Holdings are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Hilltop Holdings is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Hilltop Holdings has an alpha of 0.0384, implying that it can generate a 0.0384 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Hilltop Holdings Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Hilltop Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Hilltop Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Hilltop Holdings Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Hilltop Holdings is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Hilltop Holdings' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Hilltop Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Hilltop Holdings within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.04 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Hilltop Holdings Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Hilltop Holdings for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Hilltop Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Hilltop Holdings Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Hilltop Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Hilltop Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Hilltop Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 64.7 M |
Hilltop Holdings Technical Analysis
Hilltop Holdings' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Hilltop Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Hilltop Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Hilltop Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Hilltop Holdings Predictive Forecast Models
Hilltop Holdings' time-series forecasting models is one of many Hilltop Holdings' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Hilltop Holdings' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Hilltop Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Hilltop Holdings for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Hilltop Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| About 58.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by institutional investors |
Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Hilltop Stock
When determining whether Hilltop Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Hilltop Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Hilltop Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Hilltop Holdings Stock:Check out Hilltop Holdings Backtesting, Hilltop Holdings Valuation, Hilltop Holdings Correlation, Hilltop Holdings Hype Analysis, Hilltop Holdings Volatility, Hilltop Holdings History as well as Hilltop Holdings Performance. For more detail on how to invest in Hilltop Stock please use our How to Invest in Hilltop Holdings guide.You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.