Warimpex Finanz (Austria) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.5

WXF Stock  EUR 0.55  0.03  5.17%   
Warimpex Finanz's future price is the expected price of Warimpex Finanz instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Warimpex Finanz und performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Warimpex Finanz Backtesting, Warimpex Finanz Valuation, Warimpex Finanz Correlation, Warimpex Finanz Hype Analysis, Warimpex Finanz Volatility, Warimpex Finanz History as well as Warimpex Finanz Performance.
  
Please specify Warimpex Finanz's target price for which you would like Warimpex Finanz odds to be computed.

Warimpex Finanz Target Price Odds to finish below 0.5

The tendency of Warimpex Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to € 0.50  or more in 90 days
 0.55 90 days 0.50 
near 1
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Warimpex Finanz to drop to € 0.50  or more in 90 days from now is near 1 (This Warimpex Finanz und probability density function shows the probability of Warimpex Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Warimpex Finanz und price to stay between € 0.50  and its current price of €0.55 at the end of the 90-day period is about 1.16 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Warimpex Finanz und has a beta of -0.3. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Warimpex Finanz are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Warimpex Finanz und is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Warimpex Finanz und has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Warimpex Finanz Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Warimpex Finanz

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Warimpex Finanz und. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.553.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.493.73
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.553.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.510.580.66
Details

Warimpex Finanz Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Warimpex Finanz is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Warimpex Finanz's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Warimpex Finanz und, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Warimpex Finanz within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.17
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.3
σ
Overall volatility
0.04
Ir
Information ratio -0.1

Warimpex Finanz Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Warimpex Finanz for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Warimpex Finanz und can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Warimpex Finanz und generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Warimpex Finanz und has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Warimpex Finanz und has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 50.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Warimpex Finanz Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Warimpex Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Warimpex Finanz's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Warimpex Finanz's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding52.1 M

Warimpex Finanz Technical Analysis

Warimpex Finanz's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Warimpex Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Warimpex Finanz und. In general, you should focus on analyzing Warimpex Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Warimpex Finanz Predictive Forecast Models

Warimpex Finanz's time-series forecasting models is one of many Warimpex Finanz's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Warimpex Finanz's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Warimpex Finanz und

Checking the ongoing alerts about Warimpex Finanz for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Warimpex Finanz und help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Warimpex Finanz und generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Warimpex Finanz und has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
Warimpex Finanz und has high historical volatility and very poor performance
About 50.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders

Other Information on Investing in Warimpex Stock

Warimpex Finanz financial ratios help investors to determine whether Warimpex Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Warimpex with respect to the benefits of owning Warimpex Finanz security.