Xcana Petroleum Stock Probability of Future Pink Sheet Price Finishing Over 0.026

XCPT Stock  USD 0.03  0.07  73.47%   
XCana Petroleum's future price is the expected price of XCana Petroleum instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of XCana Petroleum performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out XCana Petroleum Backtesting, XCana Petroleum Valuation, XCana Petroleum Correlation, XCana Petroleum Hype Analysis, XCana Petroleum Volatility, XCana Petroleum History as well as XCana Petroleum Performance.
  
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XCana Petroleum Target Price Odds to finish over 0.026

The tendency of XCana Pink Sheet price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 0.03 90 days 0.03 
about 88.0
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of XCana Petroleum to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 88.0 (This XCana Petroleum probability density function shows the probability of XCana Pink Sheet to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days XCana Petroleum has a beta of -2.97. This entails as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding XCana Petroleum are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, XCana Petroleum is expected to outperform its benchmark. In addition to that XCana Petroleum has an alpha of 3.1562, implying that it can generate a 3.16 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   XCana Petroleum Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for XCana Petroleum

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as XCana Petroleum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0332.15
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0232.14
Details

XCana Petroleum Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. XCana Petroleum is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the XCana Petroleum's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold XCana Petroleum, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of XCana Petroleum within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
3.16
β
Beta against Dow Jones-2.97
σ
Overall volatility
0.03
Ir
Information ratio 0.09

XCana Petroleum Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of XCana Petroleum for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for XCana Petroleum can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
XCana Petroleum is way too risky over 90 days horizon
XCana Petroleum has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
XCana Petroleum appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
XCana Petroleum has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
XCana Petroleum currently holds 72.92 K in liabilities. XCana Petroleum has a current ratio of 0.46, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist XCana Petroleum until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, XCana Petroleum's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like XCana Petroleum sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for XCana to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about XCana Petroleum's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 13.84 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.66 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.43 M.
XCana Petroleum currently holds about 56.72 K in cash with (1.49 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.19, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

XCana Petroleum Technical Analysis

XCana Petroleum's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. XCana Pink Sheet technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of XCana Petroleum. In general, you should focus on analyzing XCana Pink Sheet price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

XCana Petroleum Predictive Forecast Models

XCana Petroleum's time-series forecasting models is one of many XCana Petroleum's pink sheet analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary XCana Petroleum's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the pink sheet market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about XCana Petroleum

Checking the ongoing alerts about XCana Petroleum for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for XCana Petroleum help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
XCana Petroleum is way too risky over 90 days horizon
XCana Petroleum has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock
XCana Petroleum appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
XCana Petroleum has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
XCana Petroleum currently holds 72.92 K in liabilities. XCana Petroleum has a current ratio of 0.46, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations when due. Debt can assist XCana Petroleum until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, XCana Petroleum's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like XCana Petroleum sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for XCana to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about XCana Petroleum's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
The entity reported the previous year's revenue of 13.84 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.66 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 5.43 M.
XCana Petroleum currently holds about 56.72 K in cash with (1.49 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.19, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow.

Additional Tools for XCana Pink Sheet Analysis

When running XCana Petroleum's price analysis, check to measure XCana Petroleum's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy XCana Petroleum is operating at the current time. Most of XCana Petroleum's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of XCana Petroleum's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move XCana Petroleum's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of XCana Petroleum to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.