Blackrock Muniassets Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.69

XMUAX Fund  USD 11.99  0.03  0.25%   
Blackrock Muniassets' future price is the expected price of Blackrock Muniassets instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Blackrock Muniassets performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Blackrock Muniassets Backtesting, Portfolio Optimization, Blackrock Muniassets Correlation, Blackrock Muniassets Hype Analysis, Blackrock Muniassets Volatility, Blackrock Muniassets History as well as Blackrock Muniassets Performance.
  
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Blackrock Muniassets Target Price Odds to finish below 11.69

The tendency of Blackrock Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to $ 11.69  or more in 90 days
 11.99 90 days 11.69 
about 7.35
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Blackrock Muniassets to drop to $ 11.69  or more in 90 days from now is about 7.35 (This Blackrock Muniassets probability density function shows the probability of Blackrock Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Blackrock Muniassets price to stay between $ 11.69  and its current price of $11.99 at the end of the 90-day period is about 68.58 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Blackrock Muniassets has a beta of -0.0873. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Blackrock Muniassets are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Blackrock Muniassets is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Blackrock Muniassets has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Blackrock Muniassets Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Blackrock Muniassets

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Blackrock Muniassets. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.5912.0312.47
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
11.5411.9812.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
11.5611.9912.43
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.6111.8812.16
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Blackrock Muniassets. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Blackrock Muniassets' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Blackrock Muniassets' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Blackrock Muniassets.

Blackrock Muniassets Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Blackrock Muniassets is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Blackrock Muniassets' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Blackrock Muniassets, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Blackrock Muniassets within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.0095
β
Beta against Dow Jones-0.09
σ
Overall volatility
0.14
Ir
Information ratio -0.31

Blackrock Muniassets Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Blackrock Muniassets for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Blackrock Muniassets can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blackrock Muniassets generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Blackrock Muniassets Technical Analysis

Blackrock Muniassets' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Blackrock Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Blackrock Muniassets. In general, you should focus on analyzing Blackrock Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Blackrock Muniassets Predictive Forecast Models

Blackrock Muniassets' time-series forecasting models is one of many Blackrock Muniassets' mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Blackrock Muniassets' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Blackrock Muniassets

Checking the ongoing alerts about Blackrock Muniassets for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Blackrock Muniassets help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Blackrock Muniassets generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Other Information on Investing in Blackrock Mutual Fund

Blackrock Muniassets financial ratios help investors to determine whether Blackrock Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Blackrock with respect to the benefits of owning Blackrock Muniassets security.
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