Xos Inc Stock Chance of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 3.11
| XOS Stock | USD 4.54 0.48 11.82% |
Xos |
Xos Target Price Odds to finish over 3.11
The tendency of Xos Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay above $ 3.11 in 90 days |
| 4.54 | 90 days | 3.11 | close to 99 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xos to stay above $ 3.11 in 90 days from now is close to 99 (This Xos Inc probability density function shows the probability of Xos Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Xos Inc price to stay between $ 3.11 and its current price of $4.54 at the end of the 90-day period is about 33.07 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon Xos has a beta of 0.81. This entails as returns on the market go up, Xos average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Xos Inc will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Xos Inc has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Xos Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Xos
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xos Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Xos Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xos is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xos' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xos Inc, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xos within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.31 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.81 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.32 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.09 |
Xos Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xos for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xos Inc can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Xos Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Xos Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Xos Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 44.52 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (75.84 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (30.03 M). | |
| Xos Inc has about 106.37 M in cash with (39.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.63. | |
| Xos Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Xos, Inc. Powers Crown Linen Service, Inc.s Energy Initiatives with Battery-Electric Stepvans |
Xos Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Xos Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Xos' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Xos' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11.6 M |
Xos Technical Analysis
Xos' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Xos Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xos Inc. In general, you should focus on analyzing Xos Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Xos Predictive Forecast Models
Xos' time-series forecasting models is one of many Xos' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xos' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Xos Inc
Checking the ongoing alerts about Xos for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xos Inc help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Xos Inc generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Xos Inc has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Xos Inc has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the last year's revenue of 44.52 M. Reported Net Loss for the year was (75.84 M) with loss before taxes, overhead, and interest of (30.03 M). | |
| Xos Inc has about 106.37 M in cash with (39.29 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.63. | |
| Xos Inc has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 59.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: Xos, Inc. Powers Crown Linen Service, Inc.s Energy Initiatives with Battery-Electric Stepvans |
Additional Tools for Xos Stock Analysis
When running Xos' price analysis, check to measure Xos' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xos is operating at the current time. Most of Xos' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xos' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xos' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xos to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.