Xp Malls (Brazil) Odds of Future Fund Price Finishing Under 104.38
| XPML11 Fund | BRL 103.50 0.15 0.14% |
XPML11 |
Xp Malls Target Price Odds to finish below 104.38
The tendency of XPML11 Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under R$ 104.38 after 90 days |
| 103.50 | 90 days | 104.38 | about 20.96 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Xp Malls to stay under R$ 104.38 after 90 days from now is about 20.96 (This Xp Malls Fundo probability density function shows the probability of XPML11 Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Xp Malls Fundo price to stay between its current price of R$ 103.50 and R$ 104.38 at the end of the 90-day period is about 6.39 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Xp Malls Fundo has a beta of -0.0881. This entails as returns on the benchmark increase, returns on holding Xp Malls are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During a bear market, however, Xp Malls Fundo is likely to outperform the market. Additionally Xp Malls Fundo has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Xp Malls Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Xp Malls
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Xp Malls Fundo. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Xp Malls Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Xp Malls is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Xp Malls' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Xp Malls Fundo, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Xp Malls within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.11 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | -0.09 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 3.59 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.43 |
Xp Malls Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Xp Malls for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Xp Malls Fundo can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Xp Malls Fundo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Xp Malls Technical Analysis
Xp Malls' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. XPML11 Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Xp Malls Fundo. In general, you should focus on analyzing XPML11 Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Xp Malls Predictive Forecast Models
Xp Malls' time-series forecasting models is one of many Xp Malls' fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Xp Malls' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Xp Malls Fundo
Checking the ongoing alerts about Xp Malls for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Xp Malls Fundo help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Xp Malls Fundo generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in XPML11 Fund
Xp Malls financial ratios help investors to determine whether XPML11 Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in XPML11 with respect to the benefits of owning Xp Malls security.
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