The Gabelli Healthcare Fund Probability of Future Mutual Fund Price Finishing Under 11.62
| XXGRX Fund | USD 11.66 0.09 0.77% |
Gabelli |
Gabelli Healthcare Target Price Odds to finish below 11.62
The tendency of Gabelli Mutual Fund price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to drop to $ 11.62 or more in 90 days |
| 11.66 | 90 days | 11.62 | roughly 2.98 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gabelli Healthcare to drop to $ 11.62 or more in 90 days from now is roughly 2.98 (This The Gabelli Healthcare probability density function shows the probability of Gabelli Mutual Fund to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of The Gabelli Healthcare price to stay between $ 11.62 and its current price of $11.66 at the end of the 90-day period is near 1 .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Gabelli Healthcare has a beta of 0.1. This entails as returns on the market go up, Gabelli Healthcare average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding The Gabelli Healthcare will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally The Gabelli Healthcare has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Gabelli Healthcare Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Gabelli Healthcare
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as The Gabelli Healthcare. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Gabelli Healthcare Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gabelli Healthcare is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gabelli Healthcare's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold The Gabelli Healthcare, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gabelli Healthcare within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.13 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.10 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.40 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.32 |
Gabelli Healthcare Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gabelli Healthcare for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for The Gabelli Healthcare can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Gabelli Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Gabelli Healthcare Technical Analysis
Gabelli Healthcare's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Gabelli Mutual Fund technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of The Gabelli Healthcare. In general, you should focus on analyzing Gabelli Mutual Fund price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Gabelli Healthcare Predictive Forecast Models
Gabelli Healthcare's time-series forecasting models is one of many Gabelli Healthcare's mutual fund analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Gabelli Healthcare's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the mutual fund market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about The Gabelli Healthcare
Checking the ongoing alerts about Gabelli Healthcare for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for The Gabelli Healthcare help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Gabelli Healthcare generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Gabelli Mutual Fund
Gabelli Healthcare financial ratios help investors to determine whether Gabelli Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Gabelli with respect to the benefits of owning Gabelli Healthcare security.
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| Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk |