22nd Century Group Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 0.41
| XXII Stock | USD 0.11 0.02 22.22% |
22nd |
22nd Century Target Price Odds to finish below 0.41
The tendency of 22nd Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under $ 0.41 after 90 days |
| 0.11 | 90 days | 0.41 | about 97.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of 22nd Century to stay under $ 0.41 after 90 days from now is about 97.0 (This 22nd Century Group probability density function shows the probability of 22nd Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of 22nd Century Group price to stay between its current price of $ 0.11 and $ 0.41 at the end of the 90-day period is about 76.52 .
Given the investment horizon of 90 days 22nd Century has a beta of 0.85. This entails 22nd Century Group market returns are responsive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, 22nd Century is expected to follow. Additionally 22nd Century Group has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. 22nd Century Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for 22nd Century
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as 22nd Century Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.22nd Century Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. 22nd Century is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the 22nd Century's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold 22nd Century Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of 22nd Century within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -2.3 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.85 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.11 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.26 |
22nd Century Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of 22nd Century for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for 22nd Century Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| 22nd Century Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| 22nd Century Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| 22nd Century Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| 22nd Century Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 32.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (140.78 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (3.06 M). | |
| 22nd Century Group currently holds about 43.72 M in cash with (54.99 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.2, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| 22nd Century Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: 22nd Century Group Inc Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Navigating Challenges and ... |
22nd Century Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of 22nd Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential 22nd Century's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. 22nd Century's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 2.1 M |
22nd Century Technical Analysis
22nd Century's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. 22nd Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of 22nd Century Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing 22nd Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
22nd Century Predictive Forecast Models
22nd Century's time-series forecasting models is one of many 22nd Century's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary 22nd Century's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about 22nd Century Group
Checking the ongoing alerts about 22nd Century for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for 22nd Century Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| 22nd Century Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| 22nd Century Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| 22nd Century Group has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| 22nd Century Group has a very high chance of going through financial distress in the upcoming years | |
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 32.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (140.78 M) with loss before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of (3.06 M). | |
| 22nd Century Group currently holds about 43.72 M in cash with (54.99 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 0.2, which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. | |
| 22nd Century Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Roughly 17.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders | |
| Latest headline from gurufocus.com: 22nd Century Group Inc Q3 2024 Earnings Call Highlights Navigating Challenges and ... |
Check out 22nd Century Backtesting, 22nd Century Valuation, 22nd Century Correlation, 22nd Century Hype Analysis, 22nd Century Volatility, 22nd Century History as well as 22nd Century Performance. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Tobacco space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of 22nd Century. If investors know 22nd will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about 22nd Century listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (17.92) | Revenue Per Share 1.461 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.61) | Return On Assets (0.23) | Return On Equity 0.3628 |
The market value of 22nd Century Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of 22nd that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of 22nd Century's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is 22nd Century's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because 22nd Century's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect 22nd Century's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between 22nd Century's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if 22nd Century is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, 22nd Century's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.