Yes Bank (India) Odds of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 23.14

YESBANK Stock   19.21  0.08  0.42%   
Yes Bank's future price is the expected price of Yes Bank instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Yes Bank Limited performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Yes Bank Backtesting, Yes Bank Valuation, Yes Bank Correlation, Yes Bank Hype Analysis, Yes Bank Volatility, Yes Bank History as well as Yes Bank Performance.
  
Please specify Yes Bank's target price for which you would like Yes Bank odds to be computed.

Yes Bank Target Price Odds to finish below 23.14

The tendency of Yes Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to stay under  23.14  after 90 days
 19.21 90 days 23.14 
about 79.14
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yes Bank to stay under  23.14  after 90 days from now is about 79.14 (This Yes Bank Limited probability density function shows the probability of Yes Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yes Bank Limited price to stay between its current price of  19.21  and  23.14  at the end of the 90-day period is about 73.73 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Yes Bank has a beta of 0.0612. This entails as returns on the market go up, Yes Bank average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Yes Bank Limited will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Yes Bank Limited has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Yes Bank Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Yes Bank

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yes Bank Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
17.5719.1520.73
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
15.4917.0721.13
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
16.8818.4520.03
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.240.240.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Yes Bank. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Yes Bank's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Yes Bank's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Yes Bank Limited.

Yes Bank Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yes Bank is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yes Bank's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yes Bank Limited, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yes Bank within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.37
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.06
σ
Overall volatility
1.63
Ir
Information ratio -0.31

Yes Bank Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yes Bank for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yes Bank Limited can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yes Bank Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Yes Bank generates negative cash flow from operations
About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: YES Bank, Suzlon Energy, PNC Infratech How to trade these 3 buzzing stocks - Business Today

Yes Bank Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yes Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yes Bank's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yes Bank's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding29.4 B
Cash And Short Term Investments634.1 B

Yes Bank Technical Analysis

Yes Bank's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yes Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yes Bank Limited. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yes Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Yes Bank Predictive Forecast Models

Yes Bank's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yes Bank's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yes Bank's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Yes Bank Limited

Checking the ongoing alerts about Yes Bank for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yes Bank Limited help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Yes Bank Limited generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Yes Bank generates negative cash flow from operations
About 41.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: YES Bank, Suzlon Energy, PNC Infratech How to trade these 3 buzzing stocks - Business Today

Other Information on Investing in Yes Stock

Yes Bank financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yes Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yes with respect to the benefits of owning Yes Bank security.