YAMAHA CORP (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 6.75

YHA Stock  EUR 6.75  0.03  0.45%   
YAMAHA CORP's future price is the expected price of YAMAHA CORP instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of YAMAHA P performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out YAMAHA CORP Backtesting, YAMAHA CORP Valuation, YAMAHA CORP Correlation, YAMAHA CORP Hype Analysis, YAMAHA CORP Volatility, YAMAHA CORP History as well as YAMAHA CORP Performance.
  
Please specify YAMAHA CORP's target price for which you would like YAMAHA CORP odds to be computed.

YAMAHA CORP Target Price Odds to finish over 6.75

The tendency of YAMAHA Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 6.75 90 days 6.75 
about 87.15
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of YAMAHA CORP to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 87.15 (This YAMAHA P probability density function shows the probability of YAMAHA Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.03 . This entails YAMAHA P market returns are related to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, YAMAHA CORP is expected to follow. Additionally YAMAHA P has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   YAMAHA CORP Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for YAMAHA CORP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as YAMAHA CORP. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.366.759.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.455.848.23
Details

YAMAHA CORP Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. YAMAHA CORP is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the YAMAHA CORP's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold YAMAHA P , one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of YAMAHA CORP within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones1.03
σ
Overall volatility
0.45
Ir
Information ratio -0.05

YAMAHA CORP Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of YAMAHA CORP for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for YAMAHA CORP can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
YAMAHA CORP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

YAMAHA CORP Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of YAMAHA Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential YAMAHA CORP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. YAMAHA CORP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding171.5 M
Dividends Paid11.5 B
Short Long Term Debt10.5 B

YAMAHA CORP Technical Analysis

YAMAHA CORP's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. YAMAHA Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of YAMAHA P . In general, you should focus on analyzing YAMAHA Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

YAMAHA CORP Predictive Forecast Models

YAMAHA CORP's time-series forecasting models is one of many YAMAHA CORP's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary YAMAHA CORP's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about YAMAHA CORP

Checking the ongoing alerts about YAMAHA CORP for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for YAMAHA CORP help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
YAMAHA CORP generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days

Additional Tools for YAMAHA Stock Analysis

When running YAMAHA CORP's price analysis, check to measure YAMAHA CORP's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy YAMAHA CORP is operating at the current time. Most of YAMAHA CORP's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of YAMAHA CORP's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move YAMAHA CORP's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of YAMAHA CORP to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.