ABOUT YOU (Germany) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 5.11
| YOU Stock | 3.26 0.02 0.62% |
ABOUT |
ABOUT YOU Target Price Odds to finish over 5.11
The tendency of ABOUT Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 5.11 or more in 90 days |
| 3.26 | 90 days | 5.11 | close to zero percent |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of ABOUT YOU to move over 5.11 or more in 90 days from now is close to zero percent (This ABOUT YOU Holding probability density function shows the probability of ABOUT Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of ABOUT YOU Holding price to stay between its current price of 3.26 and 5.11 at the end of the 90-day period is about 14.48 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon ABOUT YOU has a beta of 0.52. This entails as returns on the market go up, ABOUT YOU average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding ABOUT YOU Holding will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally ABOUT YOU Holding has an alpha of 0.0136, implying that it can generate a 0.0136 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). ABOUT YOU Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for ABOUT YOU
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ABOUT YOU Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ABOUT YOU's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ABOUT YOU Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. ABOUT YOU is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the ABOUT YOU's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold ABOUT YOU Holding, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of ABOUT YOU within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | 0.01 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.52 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.17 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.02 |
ABOUT YOU Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of ABOUT YOU for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for ABOUT YOU Holding can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| ABOUT YOU Holding has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.73 B. Net Loss for the year was (124.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 646.1 M. | |
| ABOUT YOU generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
ABOUT YOU Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of ABOUT Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential ABOUT YOU's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ABOUT YOU's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 162.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 496.2 M |
ABOUT YOU Technical Analysis
ABOUT YOU's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. ABOUT Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of ABOUT YOU Holding. In general, you should focus on analyzing ABOUT Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
ABOUT YOU Predictive Forecast Models
ABOUT YOU's time-series forecasting models is one of many ABOUT YOU's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary ABOUT YOU's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about ABOUT YOU Holding
Checking the ongoing alerts about ABOUT YOU for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for ABOUT YOU Holding help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| ABOUT YOU Holding has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company reported the revenue of 1.73 B. Net Loss for the year was (124.4 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 646.1 M. | |
| ABOUT YOU generates negative cash flow from operations | |
| About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by insiders |
Additional Tools for ABOUT Stock Analysis
When running ABOUT YOU's price analysis, check to measure ABOUT YOU's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy ABOUT YOU is operating at the current time. Most of ABOUT YOU's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of ABOUT YOU's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move ABOUT YOU's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of ABOUT YOU to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.