Yulie Sekurindo (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 2468.11
| YULE Stock | IDR 2,450 60.00 2.39% |
Yulie |
Yulie Sekurindo Target Price Odds to finish below 2468.11
The tendency of Yulie Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to stay under 2,468 after 90 days |
| 2,450 | 90 days | 2,468 | roughly 2.17 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Yulie Sekurindo to stay under 2,468 after 90 days from now is roughly 2.17 (This Yulie Sekurindo Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Yulie Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Yulie Sekurindo Tbk price to stay between its current price of 2,450 and 2,468 at the end of the 90-day period is roughly 2.15 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Yulie Sekurindo has a beta of 0.0217. This entails as returns on the market go up, Yulie Sekurindo average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Yulie Sekurindo Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Yulie Sekurindo Tbk has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial. Yulie Sekurindo Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Yulie Sekurindo
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Yulie Sekurindo Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Yulie Sekurindo Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Yulie Sekurindo is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Yulie Sekurindo's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Yulie Sekurindo Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Yulie Sekurindo within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.04 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 19.85 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.17 |
Yulie Sekurindo Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Yulie Sekurindo for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Yulie Sekurindo Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Yulie Sekurindo Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Yulie Sekurindo Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Yulie Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Yulie Sekurindo's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Yulie Sekurindo's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.5 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 179.1 B |
Yulie Sekurindo Technical Analysis
Yulie Sekurindo's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Yulie Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Yulie Sekurindo Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Yulie Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Yulie Sekurindo Predictive Forecast Models
Yulie Sekurindo's time-series forecasting models is one of many Yulie Sekurindo's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Yulie Sekurindo's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Yulie Sekurindo Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Yulie Sekurindo for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Yulie Sekurindo Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Yulie Sekurindo Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days |
Other Information on Investing in Yulie Stock
Yulie Sekurindo financial ratios help investors to determine whether Yulie Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Yulie with respect to the benefits of owning Yulie Sekurindo security.